Curaleaf reported a larger-than-expected quarterly loss, despite beating earnings estimates in three of its last four reported quarters.
Curaleaf Holdings Inc. (TSX: CURA) reported adjusted earnings per share of -US$0.1729 for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. That missed the -US$0.15 estimate by 15.3%. The result follows two strong earnings beats and smaller-than-expected losses in the previous three comparable quarters. Visit the CURA.TO stock page for more coverage and market data.
Recent earnings trend
Curaleaf Holdings Inc.
CURA.TO
CURA.TO
Curaleaf Holdings Inc.
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$3.37B
52W high
$20.93
52W low
$7.77
1W change
-10.75%
Beta
1.76
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CURA · as of Nov 11, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast CURA stock price to rise 55.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$19.70
+55.1% Upside
Previously C$19.58 on Nov 10, 2026
Current Price
C$12.70
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CURA's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
64.3%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
60.6%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-14.3%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$12.07
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$12.49 | C$10.00 – C$15.58 |
| 60 trading days | C$12.27 | C$8.97 – C$16.80 |
| 90 trading days | C$12.07 | C$8.22 – C$17.72 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-31 | 2027-02-25 | — | -0.1500 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-03 | -0.1729 | -0.1500 | -15.3% |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-05 | 0.0700 | -0.2400 | +129.2% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-04 | 0.2900 | -0.2700 | +207.4% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-26 | -0.0500 | -0.0900 | +44.4% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-04 | -0.1900 | -0.2400 | +20.8% |
Investor takeaway: Curaleaf’s latest loss was wider than analysts expected, but it doesn’t erase the company’s recent run of estimate beats. Curaleaf beat consensus in three of its last four reported quarters. The supplied data doesn’t include revenue or margin figures for this quarter, so EPS alone gives an incomplete picture of operating performance. The fundamentals snapshot shows trailing EPS of -US$0.07 and a profit margin of -0.76%, making profitability an issue for investors to watch.
EPS: -US$0.1729 actual vs. -US$0.15 estimate
Curaleaf’s loss per share was US$0.0229 wider than expected, a negative surprise of 15.3%. That reversed the previous quarter’s reported EPS of US$0.07, which beat the -US$0.24 estimate.
Bull case
Curaleaf beat earnings estimates in three of its last four comparable quarters, including in the June and March 2026 quarters. That history offers some support for the recovery case. A November 4 market update also said Curaleaf shares rose after a Boone Town Provisions deal and a third-quarter update that described higher revenue and improved profitability. Analyst targets in the supplied data suggest substantial upside from the last close, but they are not guarantees.
Bear case
Curaleaf’s September-quarter loss was deeper than forecast. Its fundamentals snapshot also shows negative trailing EPS and a negative profit margin. The stock’s last close of C$12.70 was below its 50-day moving average of C$13.44, and it fell 10.75% over one week. Consolidation and deal activity in Canada’s cannabis sector could create opportunities, but they also bring execution risks. The available information doesn’t show that recent transactions will improve Curaleaf’s earnings.
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