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Ensign Energy Services Inc ESI Earnings Beat Estimates by 400.0%

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Ensign Energy Services returned to quarterly profit as revenue and adjusted EBITDA each rose 17% year over year. Reported EPS was C$0.05, above the C$0.01 estimate.

Ensign Energy Services Inc. (TSX: ESI) released its third-quarter 2026 results before markets opened on November 6. EPS came in at C$0.05, compared with the C$0.01 estimate. Revenue reached C$481.7 million, up 17% from a year earlier, and adjusted EBITDA also rose 17%, to C$115.0 million. Ensign returned to net income, though its trailing 12-month EPS and profit margin remain negative.

Recent earnings trend

Ensign Energy Services Inc

ESI.TO

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ESI.TO

Ensign Energy Services Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $0.42 (-9.19%)
120 day period
$3.15$3.87$4.58May 20Aug 14Nov 9

Market cap

$724.41M

52W high

$4.97

52W low

$2.30

1W change

-0.72%

Beta

1.94

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering ESI · as of Nov 6, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast ESI stock price to rise 7.4% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$4.46

+7.4% Upside

Previously C$4.42 on Oct 29, 2026

Current Price

C$4.15

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on ESI's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$2.39C$3.97C$5.55C$7.13C$8.71C$10.30TodayJul 2Sep 4Nov 9Dec 22Feb 4Mar 19

30-Day Vol

58.6%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

51.0%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$4.96

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$4.40C$3.60 – C$5.39
60 trading daysC$4.67C$3.51 – C$6.22
90 trading daysC$4.96C$3.50 – C$7.04

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-12-312027-03-05—0.0200—
2026-09-302026-11-060.05000.0100+400.0%
2026-06-302026-08-07-0.1000-0.0400-150.0%
2026-03-312026-05-07-0.0600-0.0100-500.0%
2025-12-312026-03-06-0.0600-0.0100-500.0%
2025-09-302025-11-07-0.0100-0.0300+66.7%
-0.1100-0.03000.0500 24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0626-09 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: Ensign reported stronger activity and profitability. Drilling operating days rose 13% year over year, funds flow from operations increased 39% to C$122.5 million, and net income attributable to common shareholders was C$10.8 million. Still, the EPS beat came against a low C$0.01 estimate, and the company missed estimates in each of its previous three reported quarters. Net debt also rose to C$971.0 million following the Citadel Drilling acquisition. Investors can visit the ESI.TO stock page, see analyst ratings, and review the statistical price forecast.

C$481.7 million

Third-quarter revenue rose 17%, from C$411.2 million a year earlier. The United States accounted for C$262.5 million, or 55% of revenue. Canada contributed C$136.0 million, and international operations brought in C$83.2 million.

Bull case

Revenue and adjusted EBITDA each grew 17% year over year, while funds flow from operations rose 39%. Drilling days increased in Canada, the United States, and international markets. The Citadel Drilling acquisition added six fully contracted, high-spec rigs in the Permian, along with a managed-pressure-drilling business. Management also aims to reduce net debt by about C$50 million during the rest of 2026.

Bear case

The 400% EPS surprise came against a low C$0.01 estimate, so the percentage doesn’t reflect a large earnings figure. Ensign missed estimates in each of its previous three reported quarters. Its trailing 12-month EPS was -C$0.21, and its profit margin was -2.44%. Net debt reached C$971.0 million, up 5% year over year. United States well-servicing hours fell 7%, and total well-servicing hours declined 4%.

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Published: November 10, 2026
Last Updated: November 10, 2026

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