Exco Technologies Limited's recent earnings report showed a significant earnings miss, raising questions about its future performance.
Exco Technologies Limited (XTC.TO) recently released its fiscal Q3 2026 earnings, reporting an earnings per share (EPS) of CAD 0.17, which is below the estimated CAD 0.20. This 15% miss highlights the challenges the company faces in a competitive market, especially in the automotive components sector.
Recent earnings trend
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Exco Technologies Limited
XTC.TO
XTC.TO
Exco Technologies Limited
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$314.32M
P/E
13.1x
Div. yield
5.03%
Div. / share
$0.42
52W high
$8.37
52W low
$5.99
1W change
+3.34%
Beta
0.92
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering XTC
Wall Street analysts forecast XTC stock price to rise 13.6% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$9.50
+13.6% Upside
Current Price
C$8.36
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on XTC's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
17.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
22.5%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+37.3%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$9.55
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$8.74 | C$8.23 – C$9.29 |
| 60 trading days | C$9.14 | C$8.39 – C$9.95 |
| 90 trading days | C$9.55 | C$8.60 – C$10.61 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-25 | — | 0.2800 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-29 | 0.1700 | 0.2000 | -15.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-29 | 0.2100 | 0.2100 | +0.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-01-28 | 0.1300 | 0.1500 | -13.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-26 | 0.2200 | 0.1200 | +83.3% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-30 | 0.1600 | 0.1800 | -11.1% |
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Investor takeaway: While Exco Technologies has demonstrated resilience in revenue growth, this recent earnings miss emphasizes the need for investors to carefully evaluate the company's operational challenges and market conditions moving forward.
Exco Technologies Reports EPS of CAD 0.17, Missing Estimates by 15%
Despite a year-over-year EPS growth estimate of 25%, Exco's actual EPS fell short of expectations, raising concerns about the company’s ability to manage cost pressures and operational challenges.
Bull case
Exco Technologies has seen strong revenue growth in recent quarters, with sales increasing by 7% year-over-year. The launch of Exco Energy aims to enter the nuclear energy market, which could open up new revenue streams. Additionally, improved profitability in the Casting and Extrusion segment suggests operational efficiencies that might enhance margins.
Bear case
The earnings miss could indicate underlying operational issues, such as rising costs related to product mix and supply chain challenges. Recent restructuring charges and the closure of the Large Mould Mexico facility may also impact profitability in the near term. Furthermore, market conditions in Europe remain uncertain.
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