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FCR-UN Reports Earnings — What Canadian Investors Should Know

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Stocks & ETFs:FCR-UN.TO

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First Capital REIT’s third-quarter results showed stronger property operations and a large fair-value gain that lifted net income. The operating figures offer a clearer picture of the quarter.

First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX: FCR.UN) reported results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, after markets closed on November 2. Calendar data lists diluted EPS of C$0.5384, but provides no estimate, so there’s no basis for comparison. The REIT’s release offers more useful operating details: operating FFO per unit rose 9.2% year over year to C$0.36, while same-property NOI grew 5.6%, excluding bad debt expense or recovery and lease termination fees. See the FCR-UN stock page for more company details.

Recent earnings trend

First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust

FCR-UN.TO

Full stock page →

FCR-UN.TO

First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↑ $0.40 (1.75%)
120 day period
$22.35$22.87$23.39May 20Aug 14Nov 9

Market cap

$4.97B

P/E

4.6x

Div. yield

3.88%

Div. / share

$0.91

52W high

$23.44

52W low

$17.85

1W change

+1.39%

Beta

0.88

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering FCR-UN · as of Oct 23, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast FCR-UN stock price to rise 4.2% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Neutral

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$24.36

+4.2% Upside

Previously C$24.41 on Oct 16, 2026

Current Price

C$23.37

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on FCR-UN's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$21.68C$22.68C$23.68C$24.69C$25.69C$26.70TodayJul 2Sep 4Nov 9Dec 22Feb 4Mar 19

30-Day Vol

4.9%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

6.2%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+12.4%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$24.43

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$23.72C$23.32 – C$24.13
60 trading daysC$24.07C$23.50 – C$24.66
90 trading daysC$24.43C$23.72 – C$25.16

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-11-020.5384——
2026-06-302026-07-270.1122——
2026-03-312026-05-050.4288——
2025-12-312026-02-103.9987——
2025-09-302025-11-040.3100——
2025-06-302025-07-290.2956——
0.00001.99933.9987 24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0626-09 Reported EPS (≥0) Reported EPS (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: Operations improved this quarter. Operating FFO per diluted unit rose from C$0.33 to C$0.36, same-property NOI grew, and renewal rents remained well above expiring rents. Net income per diluted unit also increased to C$0.54, but much of the gain came from a C$47.9-million improvement in investment-property fair value. To assess recurring performance, focus more on operating FFO and property metrics than on the jump in net income. The Trust declared a November distribution of C$0.076 per unit, or C$0.912 annualized.

C$0.36 operating FFO per diluted unit

Operating FFO per unit rose 9.2% year over year, from C$0.33 to C$0.36. This measure gives a clearer view of recurring performance than net income per unit, which reached C$0.54 partly because investment-property fair value improved by C$47.9 million year over year.

Bull case

Operating FFO growth reflected a C$6.6-million increase in NOI, and lease renewals continued to bring higher rents. Portfolio occupancy was 96.9%, and same-property occupancy reached 97.4%. Net debt to adjusted EBITDA improved to 8.9 times from 9.2 times a year earlier. Net asset value per unit rose to C$23.16 from C$22.29 at September 30, 2025.

Bear case

Total portfolio occupancy slipped to 96.9% from 97.1% a year earlier. Same-property NOI growth, excluding specified items, slowed to 5.6% from 6.4%. Net debt stood at C$4.125 billion, and net debt to adjusted EBITDA remained high at 8.9 times. Higher corporate general and administrative costs and interest expense partly offset the NOI gains. The increase in reported net income also relied heavily on non-cash changes in property values.

Analysis

First Capital reported C$78.5 million in operating funds from operations for the three months ended September 30, up C$6.9 million from the same quarter in 2025. Operating FFO per diluted unit rose to C$0.36 from C$0.33. The Trust said the increase mainly reflected C$6.6 million in higher NOI and C$0.9 million in higher interest and other income. Higher corporate G&A and interest expense partly offset those gains. The additional income included C$0.8 million in interim occupancy fees and other income tied to its 400 King St. West condominium development.

Same-property NOI growth was 5.6% excluding bad debt expense or recovery and lease termination fees, down from 6.4% a year earlier. On the reported measure, growth was 5.2%, compared with 7.2% in the prior-year quarter. Lease renewal volume rose to 603,000 square feet from 543,000, and first-year rent on renewals was 13.2% higher. Total portfolio occupancy was 96.9%, slightly below 97.1%. Same-property occupancy was 97.4%, up from 97.2%.

FFO per diluted unit was C$0.37, compared with C$0.32 a year earlier. The increase reflected higher operating FFO and an improvement in other gains and expenses, mainly from mark-to-market changes on derivatives. The Trust expects these non-cash derivative gains and losses to net to zero over the related loans’ lives. The automatically added recent-earnings trend table and chart provide more historical context.

Analysis

Net income attributable to unitholders was C$116.1 million, or C$0.54 per diluted unit, compared with C$66.6 million, or C$0.31 per unit, in the third quarter of 2025. The increase mainly came from a C$47.9-million improvement in the fair value of investment properties. This valuation change is different from recurring rental cash flow, so operating FFO is useful when assessing the results.

At September 30, total assets were C$9.492 billion and net debt was C$4.125 billion. Net debt to total assets was 44.2%. Net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 8.9 times, compared with 9.2 times a year earlier. Net asset value per unit was C$23.16, up from C$22.29 at September 30, 2025.

First Capital declared a monthly distribution of C$0.076 per unit for November, or C$0.912 annualized. It is payable December 15 to unitholders of record on November 30. The supplied fundamentals snapshot lists a 3.88% distribution yield. The yield can change as the unit price and distribution change.

Analysis

The supplied analyst data points to a neutral consensus based on the average target compared with the latest close. A formal rating wasn’t available for this Canadian listing. The average target is C$24.36, compared with the reported last close of C$23.37, implying 4.2% upside to the target. Targets are estimates, not guarantees. See the analyst ratings and targets.

Analysis

Wealth Awesome’s statistical 90-day price model, which is not financial advice, gives a mean forecast of C$24.43 from a current reference price of C$23.37. Its 68% range is C$23.72 to C$25.16, and its 95% range is C$23.03 to C$25.92. These are model estimates, not recommendations or promises of future performance. Review the FCR-UN price forecast alongside your own research.

Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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Published: November 10, 2026
Last Updated: November 10, 2026

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