
First Capital REIT’s third-quarter results showed stronger property operations and a large fair-value gain that lifted net income. The operating figures offer a clearer picture of the quarter.
First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX: FCR.UN) reported results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, after markets closed on November 2. Calendar data lists diluted EPS of C$0.5384, but provides no estimate, so there’s no basis for comparison. The REIT’s release offers more useful operating details: operating FFO per unit rose 9.2% year over year to C$0.36, while same-property NOI grew 5.6%, excluding bad debt expense or recovery and lease termination fees. See the FCR-UN stock page for more company details.
Recent earnings trend
First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust
FCR-UN.TO
FCR-UN.TO
First Capital Real Estate Investment Trust
Market cap
$4.97B
P/E
4.6x
Div. yield
3.88%
Div. / share
$0.91
52W high
$23.44
52W low
$17.85
1W change
+1.39%
Beta
0.88
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering FCR-UN · as of Oct 23, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast FCR-UN stock price to rise 4.2% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
NeutralBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$24.36
+4.2% Upside
Previously C$24.41 on Oct 16, 2026
Current Price
C$23.37
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on FCR-UN's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
4.9%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
6.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+12.4%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$24.43
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$23.72 | C$23.32 – C$24.13 |
| 60 trading days | C$24.07 | C$23.50 – C$24.66 |
| 90 trading days | C$24.43 | C$23.72 – C$25.16 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-02 | 0.5384 | — | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-27 | 0.1122 | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-05 | 0.4288 | — | — |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-10 | 3.9987 | — | — |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-04 | 0.3100 | — | — |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-29 | 0.2956 | — | — |
Investor takeaway: Operations improved this quarter. Operating FFO per diluted unit rose from C$0.33 to C$0.36, same-property NOI grew, and renewal rents remained well above expiring rents. Net income per diluted unit also increased to C$0.54, but much of the gain came from a C$47.9-million improvement in investment-property fair value. To assess recurring performance, focus more on operating FFO and property metrics than on the jump in net income. The Trust declared a November distribution of C$0.076 per unit, or C$0.912 annualized.
C$0.36 operating FFO per diluted unit
Operating FFO per unit rose 9.2% year over year, from C$0.33 to C$0.36. This measure gives a clearer view of recurring performance than net income per unit, which reached C$0.54 partly because investment-property fair value improved by C$47.9 million year over year.
Bull case
Operating FFO growth reflected a C$6.6-million increase in NOI, and lease renewals continued to bring higher rents. Portfolio occupancy was 96.9%, and same-property occupancy reached 97.4%. Net debt to adjusted EBITDA improved to 8.9 times from 9.2 times a year earlier. Net asset value per unit rose to C$23.16 from C$22.29 at September 30, 2025.
Bear case
Total portfolio occupancy slipped to 96.9% from 97.1% a year earlier. Same-property NOI growth, excluding specified items, slowed to 5.6% from 6.4%. Net debt stood at C$4.125 billion, and net debt to adjusted EBITDA remained high at 8.9 times. Higher corporate general and administrative costs and interest expense partly offset the NOI gains. The increase in reported net income also relied heavily on non-cash changes in property values.
Analysis
First Capital reported C$78.5 million in operating funds from operations for the three months ended September 30, up C$6.9 million from the same quarter in 2025. Operating FFO per diluted unit rose to C$0.36 from C$0.33. The Trust said the increase mainly reflected C$6.6 million in higher NOI and C$0.9 million in higher interest and other income. Higher corporate G&A and interest expense partly offset those gains. The additional income included C$0.8 million in interim occupancy fees and other income tied to its 400 King St. West condominium development.
Same-property NOI growth was 5.6% excluding bad debt expense or recovery and lease termination fees, down from 6.4% a year earlier. On the reported measure, growth was 5.2%, compared with 7.2% in the prior-year quarter. Lease renewal volume rose to 603,000 square feet from 543,000, and first-year rent on renewals was 13.2% higher. Total portfolio occupancy was 96.9%, slightly below 97.1%. Same-property occupancy was 97.4%, up from 97.2%.
FFO per diluted unit was C$0.37, compared with C$0.32 a year earlier. The increase reflected higher operating FFO and an improvement in other gains and expenses, mainly from mark-to-market changes on derivatives. The Trust expects these non-cash derivative gains and losses to net to zero over the related loans’ lives. The automatically added recent-earnings trend table and chart provide more historical context.
Analysis
Net income attributable to unitholders was C$116.1 million, or C$0.54 per diluted unit, compared with C$66.6 million, or C$0.31 per unit, in the third quarter of 2025. The increase mainly came from a C$47.9-million improvement in the fair value of investment properties. This valuation change is different from recurring rental cash flow, so operating FFO is useful when assessing the results.
At September 30, total assets were C$9.492 billion and net debt was C$4.125 billion. Net debt to total assets was 44.2%. Net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 8.9 times, compared with 9.2 times a year earlier. Net asset value per unit was C$23.16, up from C$22.29 at September 30, 2025.
First Capital declared a monthly distribution of C$0.076 per unit for November, or C$0.912 annualized. It is payable December 15 to unitholders of record on November 30. The supplied fundamentals snapshot lists a 3.88% distribution yield. The yield can change as the unit price and distribution change.
Analysis
The supplied analyst data points to a neutral consensus based on the average target compared with the latest close. A formal rating wasn’t available for this Canadian listing. The average target is C$24.36, compared with the reported last close of C$23.37, implying 4.2% upside to the target. Targets are estimates, not guarantees. See the analyst ratings and targets.
Analysis
Wealth Awesome’s statistical 90-day price model, which is not financial advice, gives a mean forecast of C$24.43 from a current reference price of C$23.37. Its 68% range is C$23.72 to C$25.16, and its 95% range is C$23.03 to C$25.92. These are model estimates, not recommendations or promises of future performance. Review the FCR-UN price forecast alongside your own research.
Best next step
Keep exploring this topic
If you want to go deeper, these are the most useful follow-up pages and tools for this topic.
Broker comparison
Best trading platforms in Canada
Compare $0-commission brokers before you act on a ticker story.
Safe cash
Best GIC rates in Canada
If the story makes you want to de-risk, compare guaranteed rates next.
HISA roundup
Best high-interest savings accounts
Keep dry powder in a no-fee savings account instead of chequing.
TFSA room
Check TFSA contribution room
Shelter the next contribution before you buy.

Wealth Awesome
Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
View Full Profile →✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals
This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.
Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.
⚠️ Professional Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.


