Greenfire Resources Ltd. surprised investors with impressive earnings, reporting an EPS of $0.43 compared to an expected $0.01.
Recent earnings trend
Advertisement
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
GFR.TO
GFR.TO
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$1.92B
52W high
$9.96
52W low
$5.72
1W change
-9.01%
Beta
0.18
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering GFR · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast GFR stock price to rise 42.9% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$11.40
+42.9% Upside
Current Price
C$7.98
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on GFR's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
39.6%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
46.4%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+8.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$8.21
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$8.06 | C$7.03 – C$9.24 |
| 60 trading days | C$8.13 | C$6.70 – C$9.87 |
| 90 trading days | C$8.21 | C$6.48 – C$10.40 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Advertisement
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-05 | 0.4300 | 0.0100 | +4200.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-05 | -0.5800 | 0.0800 | -825.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | -0.1100 | 0.1400 | -178.6% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-03 | -0.1200 | 0.2300 | -152.2% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-06 | 0.1400 | 0.3100 | -54.8% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-06 | 0.2300 | 0.3200 | -28.1% |
Advertisement
On August 5, 2026, Greenfire Resources Ltd. announced its earnings for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026. The company reported an EPS of $0.43, significantly higher than the consensus estimate of $0.01. This remarkable surprise of 4200% has drawn attention to the company's recent operational strategies and future growth potential.
Investor takeaway: This earnings surprise suggests that Greenfire Resources is improving its operational efficiency and potential profitability. However, investors should stay cautious due to the company's past quarterly performance and the current market conditions.
EPS Surprises by 4200.0%
Greenfire's EPS of $0.43 marks a significant turnaround from its previous loss of $0.58 in the last quarter, indicating a possible shift in the company's financial direction.
Bull case
The strong EPS figure suggests that Greenfire may be turning a corner operationally. With a bullish analyst consensus price target of C$11.40, there’s potential for substantial upside in the coming months.
Bear case
Despite the recent earnings beat, Greenfire's historical performance has been inconsistent, with notable losses in previous quarters. Investors should be cautious of potential volatility and market reactions to future earnings reports.
Best next step
Keep exploring this topic
If you want to go deeper, these are the most useful follow-up pages and tools for this topic.
Broker comparison
Best trading platforms in Canada
Compare $0-commission brokers before you act on a ticker story.
Safe cash
Best GIC rates in Canada
If the story makes you want to de-risk, compare guaranteed rates next.
HISA roundup
Best high-interest savings accounts
Keep dry powder in a no-fee savings account instead of chequing.
TFSA room
Check TFSA contribution room
Shelter the next contribution before you buy.
Advertisement
Wealth Awesome
Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.
View Full Profile →✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals
This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.
Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.
⚠️ Professional Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.
