Greenfire Resources Ltd. surprised investors with impressive earnings, reporting an EPS of $0.43 compared to an expected $0.01.
Recent earnings trend
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Greenfire Resources Ltd.
GFR.TO
GFR.TO
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
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Market cap
$1.08B
52W high
$9.62
52W low
$5.72
1W change
+2.37%
Beta
0.19
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering GFR
Wall Street analysts forecast GFR stock price to rise 25.6% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$11.40
+25.6% Upside
Current Price
C$9.08
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on GFR's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
53.1%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
50.5%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+46.9%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$10.74
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$9.60 | C$7.99 – C$11.53 |
| 60 trading days | C$10.15 | C$7.84 – C$13.16 |
| 90 trading days | C$10.74 | C$7.82 – C$14.75 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-05 | 0.4300 | 0.0100 | +4200.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-05 | -0.5800 | 0.0800 | -825.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-12 | -0.1100 | 0.1400 | -178.6% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-03 | -0.1200 | 0.2300 | -152.2% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-06 | 0.1400 | 0.3100 | -54.8% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-06 | 0.2300 | 0.3200 | -28.1% |
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On August 5, 2026, Greenfire Resources Ltd. announced its earnings for the fiscal period ending June 30, 2026. The company reported an EPS of $0.43, significantly higher than the consensus estimate of $0.01. This remarkable surprise of 4200% has drawn attention to the company's recent operational strategies and future growth potential.
Investor takeaway: This earnings surprise suggests that Greenfire Resources is improving its operational efficiency and potential profitability. However, investors should stay cautious due to the company's past quarterly performance and the current market conditions.
EPS Surprises by 4200.0%
Greenfire's EPS of $0.43 marks a significant turnaround from its previous loss of $0.58 in the last quarter, indicating a possible shift in the company's financial direction.
Bull case
The strong EPS figure suggests that Greenfire may be turning a corner operationally. With a bullish analyst consensus price target of C$11.40, there’s potential for substantial upside in the coming months.
Bear case
Despite the recent earnings beat, Greenfire's historical performance has been inconsistent, with notable losses in previous quarters. Investors should be cautious of potential volatility and market reactions to future earnings reports.
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