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i-80 Gold Corp. IAU Earnings Miss Estimates by 100.0%

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i-80 Gold reported a third-quarter loss of C$0.06 per share, double the estimated loss of C$0.03. At the same time, development advanced across its Nevada project pipeline.

i-80 Gold Corp. (TSX: IAU) released its third-quarter 2026 results after markets closed on November 2. Revenue was US$32.7 million, up from US$32.0 million a year earlier. But its net loss widened to US$48.4 million from US$41.9 million. For Canadian investors, the results highlight the cost and execution risks of building future production while the company remains unprofitable. See the IAU stock page for company and share data.

Recent earnings trend

i-80 Gold Corp.

IAU.TO

Full stock page →

IAU.TO

i-80 Gold Corp.

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $0.27 (-12.27%)
120 day period
$1.76$2.21$2.67May 12Aug 7Nov 2

Market cap

$1.68B

52W high

$3.04

52W low

$1.25

1W change

-6.76%

Beta

2.21

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering IAU · as of Nov 2, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast IAU stock price to rise 139.4% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$4.62

+139.4% Upside

Previously C$4.63 on Oct 30, 2026

Current Price

C$1.93

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on IAU's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$0.82C$1.32C$1.82C$2.32C$2.82C$3.32TodayJun 24Aug 28Nov 2Dec 15Jan 28Mar 12

30-Day Vol

56.0%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

60.9%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-43.4%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$1.65

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$1.83C$1.51 – C$2.22
60 trading daysC$1.74C$1.32 – C$2.29
90 trading daysC$1.65C$1.18 – C$2.31

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-11-02-0.0600-0.0300-100.0%
2026-06-302026-08-10-0.0500-0.0300-66.7%
2026-03-312026-05-12-0.12880.0100-1388.0%
2025-12-312026-02-19-0.0500-0.0100-400.0%
2025-09-302025-11-12-0.0400-0.0100-300.0%
2025-06-302025-08-13-0.0700-0.0200-250.0%
-0.1288-0.05940.0100 24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0626-09 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: Revenue and gross profit rose, but the net loss grew and the company used more cash in operating activities. Project progress could support future production, but significant execution and funding risks remain before that growth can lead to sustained profits.

US$48.4 million

That was i-80 Gold’s net loss for the third quarter, up from US$41.9 million a year earlier. The company said the increase was mainly due to higher pre-development, evaluation and exploration costs as it advanced several projects.

Bull case

Archimedes underground is still on track to begin production mining by the end of 2026. i-80 Gold also declared its first underground reserves at Granite Creek: 556,500 ounces. The company said refurbishment of the Lone Tree plant remained on schedule and largely on budget. These milestones support its plan for a Nevada hub-and-spoke operation, with a target of 150,000 to 200,000 ounces of annual gold production in 2028.

Bear case

The company missed the quarter’s EPS estimate, and its net loss grew from a year earlier as pre-development, evaluation and exploration costs increased. Cash used in operating activities rose to US$32.5 million from US$15.2 million. IAU has missed estimates in each of the past four comparable quarters. Its negative trailing EPS and profit margin also show that development progress has yet to translate into profits.

Earnings results

For the three months ended September 30, i-80 Gold reported EPS of -C$0.06, compared with an estimate of -C$0.03. The 100% miss extends a difficult run: the company has missed estimates in each of the past four comparable quarters. The earnings table and chart show how results have changed from quarter to quarter.

Revenue increased to US$32.7 million from US$32.0 million a year earlier. The company sold 7,744 ounces of gold at an average realized price of US$4,211 an ounce. A year earlier, it sold 9,368 ounces at US$3,412 an ounce. Production fell to 11,685 ounces from 12,428 ounces. Gross profit rose to US$5.0 million from US$3.1 million, helped by the higher realized gold price.

The higher gross profit did not prevent a larger net loss. Net loss reached US$48.4 million, compared with US$41.9 million a year earlier, mainly because of higher pre-development, evaluation and exploration costs. Cash used in operating activities also increased, to US$32.5 million from US$15.2 million. The company expects consolidated production to land in the lower half of its guidance range.

Project progress and production plans

Management said development at Archimedes underground remained on schedule and largely on budget. Production mining is targeted to begin by the end of 2026. A feasibility study for Granite Creek declared initial underground reserves of 556,500 ounces of gold, and development continued to improve access to high-grade areas. Work on the Lone Tree plant refurbishment also remained on schedule and largely on budget. Initial construction activities are planned for the fourth quarter.

These milestones support i-80 Gold’s plan to grow production through a Nevada hub-and-spoke operation. Management is targeting annual production of 150,000 to 200,000 ounces of gold in 2028. But the larger loss and cash outflow show the cost of advancing several projects before production is expected to grow. See the IAU stock page for more on the company.

Analyst targets and price model

Available analyst data shows an average target of C$4.62, compared with the last close of C$1.93. That implies 139.4% upside, but a target price is not a guarantee. Formal analyst ratings are unavailable for Canadian listings. See the analyst targets section for details.

Wealth Awesome’s statistical 90-day price model estimates a mean of C$1.65. Its 68% range is C$1.18 to C$2.31, and its 95% range is C$0.85 to C$3.23. The model estimates annualized drift of -43.4% and 30-day volatility of 56.0%. This statistical model is not financial advice. See the price forecast for more information.

Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: November 3, 2026
Last Updated: November 3, 2026

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