Jaguar Mining Inc's latest earnings report shows the company is still facing challenges in meeting market expectations, highlighting its struggle in a tough mining environment.
Jaguar Mining Inc (JAG.TO) reported its Q2 2026 earnings on August 13, 2026, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.18. This is significantly below the analyst estimate of $0.26, missing by 30.8%. This continues a worrying trend for the company, which has not beaten EPS estimates in its last four quarters.
Recent earnings trend
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Jaguar Mining Inc
JAG.TO
JAG.TO
Jaguar Mining Inc
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Market cap
$535.02M
52W high
$9.63
52W low
$4.21
1W change
+11.64%
Beta
2.25
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering JAG
Wall Street analysts forecast JAG stock price to rise 101.8% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$14.13
+101.8% Upside
Current Price
C$7.00
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on JAG's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
55.8%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
61.9%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$8.37
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$7.43 | C$6.13 – C$9.01 |
| 60 trading days | C$7.88 | C$6.01 – C$10.35 |
| 90 trading days | C$8.37 | C$6.00 – C$11.68 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-13 | 0.1800 | 0.2600 | -30.8% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-13 | 0.0500 | 0.1000 | -50.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-30 | -0.0400 | 0.1100 | -136.4% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-06 | 0.1000 | 0.1100 | -9.1% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-14 | 0.2100 | 0.1000 | +110.0% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-06 | 0.0500 | 0.1000 | -50.0% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should keep a close eye on Jaguar Mining's operational performance and production metrics as the company works through a difficult earnings landscape. While the recent production increase offers some hope, the consistent earnings misses raise concerns about future profitability.
Bull case
Jaguar Mining reported a 19% increase in consolidated gold production, reaching 13,057 ounces in Q2 2026. This growth was driven by improvements at the Turmalina mine and steady performance at the Pilar mine. With rising gold prices, this production boost could help the company recover its earnings in the future.
Bear case
Even with the increase in production, the significant earnings miss and the lack of historical beats raise concerns about the company's operational efficiency and cost management. With a profit margin of -6.24% and a negative trailing twelve-month EPS, investors might need to rethink their outlook on Jaguar Mining's profitability.
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