Keel Infrastructure Corp. continues to struggle with disappointing earnings, missing estimates significantly for the second quarter of 2026.
In its latest earnings report released on August 10, 2026, Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL.TO) announced an earnings per share (EPS) of -0.1486, falling short of the consensus estimate of -0.07 by a staggering 112.3%. This marks a continuation of a troubling trend for the company, which has failed to meet analyst expectations in its last four quarters.
Recent earnings trend
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Keel Infrastructure Corp.
KEEL.TO
KEEL.TO
Keel Infrastructure Corp.
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Market cap
$2.86B
52W high
$10.81
52W low
$2.50
1W change
-20.38%
Beta
4.11
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering KEEL
Wall Street analysts forecast KEEL stock price to rise 93.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$8.92
+93.5% Upside
Current Price
C$4.61
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on KEEL's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
137.9%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
117.7%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$3.86
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$4.34 | C$2.70 – C$6.99 |
| 60 trading days | C$4.09 | C$2.09 – C$8.02 |
| 90 trading days | C$3.86 | C$1.69 – C$8.79 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-10 | -0.1486 | -0.0700 | -112.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-11 | -0.2400 | -0.1000 | -140.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-31 | -0.1100 | -0.0200 | -450.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-13 | -0.1500 | -0.0200 | -650.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-12 | -0.0500 | -0.0200 | -150.0% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-14 | -0.0700 | -0.0300 | -133.3% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should be cautious as Keel Infrastructure's persistent earnings misses raise concerns about its operational efficiency and long-term profitability. The company's lack of positive earnings momentum could impact its stock performance in the near future.
EPS Misses by 112.3% on Continued Earnings Struggles
Keel Infrastructure's EPS of -0.1486 represents a significant deviation from the estimated -0.07, reflecting ongoing challenges in achieving profitability amidst declining revenue expectations.
Bull case
The recent approval for the Sherbrooke data center project could open doors for growth opportunities for Keel Infrastructure. This project might lead to increased revenue and operational capacity down the line.
Bear case
With a history of earnings misses and a significant negative profit margin of -171.23%, the company's financial health raises concerns. Investors may face increased risks as the stock has shown a downward trend, losing nearly 30% of its value over the past month.
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