Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc. surprised analysts with a significant earnings beat, signaling potential growth in the competitive graphite market.
Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc. (NOU.TO) reported its latest earnings on August 12, 2026, showing a notable performance that exceeded expectations. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of -0.04, which surpassed the forecasted -0.05 by 20%. This marks the third earnings beat in the last four quarters, indicating a positive trend as the company continues its developments in the graphite sector.
Recent earnings trend
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Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc
NOU.TO
NOU.TO
Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc
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Market cap
$654.94M
52W high
$7.96
52W low
$1.78
1W change
+4.71%
Beta
0.93
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering NOU
Wall Street analysts forecast NOU stock price to rise 122.5% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$4.45
+122.5% Upside
Current Price
C$2.00
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on NOU's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
53.4%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
72.8%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$1.67
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$1.88 | C$1.57 – C$2.27 |
| 60 trading days | C$1.78 | C$1.37 – C$2.30 |
| 90 trading days | C$1.67 | C$1.22 – C$2.30 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-11 | — | -0.0600 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-12 | -0.0400 | -0.0500 | +20.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-13 | 0.0310 | -0.1200 | +125.8% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-25 | 0.0400 | -0.1000 | +140.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-12 | -0.5000 | -0.0900 | -455.6% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-14 | -0.1400 | -0.0900 | -55.6% |
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Investor takeaway: For Canadian investors, Nouveau Monde's recent earnings performance could signal growing confidence in the company's operations and its potential in the graphite market, especially as it ramps up production at its Matawinie Mine. However, the continued negative EPS highlights the challenges the company faces in achieving profitability.
Bull case
The positive earnings surprise could boost investor confidence, especially with recent support from the Canada Growth Fund for the Matawinie Mine construction. With a favorable analyst consensus and significant growth potential in the graphite sector, Nouveau Monde may be well-positioned for future gains.
Bear case
Despite the earnings beat, investors should be aware of the ongoing negative EPS trend and the challenges of reaching profitability. The company's reliance on external funding and market conditions may pose risks, particularly in a volatile commodity market.
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