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PHX Energy Services Corporation PHX Earnings Miss Estimates by 28.1%

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PHX Energy reported third-quarter 2026 earnings after markets closed on November 3. EPS was C$0.23, 28.1% below the C$0.32 estimate. The quarter ended September 30.

Supplemental headlines report record revenue of C$204.2 million, up 24% from a year earlier, and a third straight quarterly record for rotary-steerable activity. Those figures aren’t included in the supplied earnings data, so investors should check them against the company’s full release. The main question for Canadian investors is how to weigh the earnings miss against the reported growth in revenue and activity.

Recent earnings trend

PHX Energy Services Corporation

PHX.TO

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PHX.TO

PHX Energy Services Corporation

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $0.47 (-4.15%)
120 day period
$10.20$11.96$13.71May 14Aug 11Nov 4

Market cap

$496.97M

P/E

9.1x

52W high

$13.75

52W low

$6.26

1W change

-19.67%

Beta

1.50

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering PHX · as of Oct 28, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast PHX stock price to rise 41.2% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$15.33

+41.2% Upside

Previously C$15.17 on Sep 17, 2026

Current Price

C$10.86

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on PHX's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$4.59C$7.44C$10.29C$13.15C$16.00C$18.85TodayJun 26Sep 1Nov 4Dec 17Jan 30Mar 14

30-Day Vol

56.6%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

39.7%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-43.3%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$9.30

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$10.31C$8.48 – C$12.54
60 trading daysC$9.80C$7.43 – C$12.91
90 trading daysC$9.30C$6.63 – C$13.05

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-12-312027-02-23—0.3400—
2026-09-302026-11-030.23000.3200-28.1%
2026-06-302026-08-040.19000.1700+11.8%
2026-03-312026-05-050.20000.2800-28.6%
2025-12-312026-02-240.35500.1400+153.6%
2025-09-302025-11-040.15000.2600-42.3%
0.00000.22100.4420 24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0626-09 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: The EPS miss is the clearest confirmed signal in the supplied data, but it doesn’t capture the full operating picture. The reported revenue and activity records are encouraging, though investors should review the company’s release for details on margins, costs and cash flow. PHX has missed estimates in two of its last four reported quarters. Its shares closed at C$10.86, below their 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Analyst price targets and the Wealth Awesome model point in different directions, highlighting uncertainty rather than providing a reliable near-term signal.

C$0.23 EPS versus C$0.32 estimate

EPS fell 28.1% short of the estimate. PHX beat estimates by 11.8% in the previous quarter, then missed by 28.6% in the March quarter. Results have varied over the past four quarters.

Bull case

Supplemental headlines report record third-quarter revenue, up 24% year over year, and a third straight quarterly record for rotary-steerable activity. The calendar consensus for next quarter is C$0.25 in EPS and C$193 million in revenue, with estimated year-over-year growth of 63.9% and 17.4%, respectively. The average analyst target is C$15.33, above the last close of C$10.86. That target is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Bear case

Third-quarter EPS was 28.1% below estimate, and PHX has beaten estimates in only two of its last four reported quarters. At the supplied close, the share price was below its 50-day and 200-day averages. It had also fallen 14.35% in one day and 19.67% over one week. Record revenue doesn’t necessarily mean higher profits. The supplied snapshot shows a 6.46% profit margin, but includes no quarter-specific margin or cash-flow figures.

Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: November 5, 2026
Last Updated: November 5, 2026

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