Supremex Inc. faced a significant earnings miss in its latest quarterly report, raising questions about its growth trajectory.
Supremex Inc. (SXP.TO) reported its second-quarter earnings for 2026 on July 30, 2026, after the market closed. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.06, falling short of analysts' expectations of $0.10, resulting in a surprise of -40.0%. This marks a notable deviation from its recent performance trends, where Supremex had achieved two beats in the last four quarters.
Recent earnings trend
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Supremex Inc.
SXP.TO
SXP.TO
Supremex Inc.
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$88.81M
P/E
7.6x
Div. yield
5.41%
Div. / share
$0.20
52W high
$3.97
52W low
$3.36
1W change
+1.37%
Beta
0.67
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering SXP
Wall Street analysts forecast SXP stock price to rise 35.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$5.00
+35.1% Upside
Current Price
C$3.70
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on SXP's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
15.0%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
19.5%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+6.9%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$3.79
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$3.73 | C$3.54 – C$3.93 |
| 60 trading days | C$3.76 | C$3.49 – C$4.05 |
| 90 trading days | C$3.79 | C$3.47 – C$4.15 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-30 | 0.0600 | 0.1000 | -40.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | 0.0800 | 0.0600 | +33.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-19 | 0.0600 | 0.0800 | -25.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-06 | 0.1900 | 0.0800 | +137.5% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | -0.0126 | 0.1400 | -109.0% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-08 | 0.0900 | 0.1500 | -40.0% |
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Investor takeaway: Investors should be cautious following this earnings miss, as it may indicate underlying challenges in Supremex’s operations or market conditions. The company’s ability to navigate these challenges will be crucial for its future performance.
Bull case
Despite the recent earnings miss, Supremex's acquisition of Goldrich Printpak could boost its product offerings and market presence, potentially leading to better performance in the coming quarters. Plus, the company has a relatively low P/E ratio of 7.55, which suggests it might be undervalued compared to its peers in the materials sector.
Bear case
The significant earnings miss raises concerns about Supremex's operational efficiency and market dynamics. With a profit margin of only 3.90% and an inconsistent EPS trend, investors may need to reassess the company's growth potential and competitive positioning in the packaging industry.
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