
TRX Gold Corporation's latest earnings report shows strong performance, exceeding expectations and continuing its growth in the gold mining sector.
Recent earnings trend
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TRX Gold Corporation
TRX.TO
TRX.TO
TRX Gold Corporation
Market cap
$360.22M
52W high
$3.75
52W low
$0.46
1W change
+2.70%
Beta
0.89
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TRX's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
70.4%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
69.8%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$0.95
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$1.07 | C$0.84 – C$1.37 |
| 60 trading days | C$1.01 | C$0.72 – C$1.43 |
| 90 trading days | C$0.95 | C$0.63 – C$1.45 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 2 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-07-14 | 0.0414 | 0.0400 | +3.5% |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-04-14 | 0.0500 | 0.0300 | +66.7% |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026-01-14 | -0.0100 | 0.0100 | -200.0% |
| 2025-08-31 | 2025-11-27 | 0.0301 | 0.0200 | +50.5% |
| 2025-05-31 | 2025-07-14 | -0.0010 | 0.0200 | -105.0% |
| 2025-02-28 | 2025-04-14 | -0.0100 | 0.0100 | -200.0% |
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On July 14, 2026, after the market closed, TRX Gold Corporation announced its earnings for the fiscal period ending May 31, 2026. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of 0.0414, surpassing the consensus estimate of 0.04 by 3.5%. This is the third earnings beat in the last four quarters for TRX Gold, highlighting its resilience and operational strength in the competitive gold mining industry.
Investor takeaway: TRX Gold's consistent ability to exceed earnings expectations, along with strong production metrics, positions it well for future growth, despite recent stock price fluctuations.
TRX Gold Reports EPS of 0.0414, Surpassing Estimates
The company's EPS growth aligns with its recent operational successes, reflecting an estimated revenue growth of 175.7%, although the profit margin remains a concern.
Bull case
The positive earnings surprise shows that TRX Gold is implementing effective operational strategies and has potential for further revenue growth, especially as global gold prices remain favorable. The recent increases in production enhance its outlook, making it an attractive choice for growth-focused investors.
Bear case
Despite the earnings beat, TRX Gold's stock has faced challenges in the short term, dropping 25.36% over the past month. Investors should be cautious about possible market fluctuations and the company's ability to maintain profitability, given its current profit margin of -23.45%.
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