Timbercreek Financial Corp's stock has been on a downward trend in recent weeks, despite stable financial performance.
Timbercreek Financial Corp (TF.TO) saw a 1.71% drop in its stock price today, bringing its weekly loss to 3.00%. This decline is part of a broader pattern, with the stock down nearly 10% over the past month. However, Timbercreek has announced strong financial results and upcoming plans that could influence investor sentiment.
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Timbercreek Financial Corp
TF.TO
TF.TO
Timbercreek Financial Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$427.83M
P/E
16.7x
Div. yield
13.12%
Div. / share
$0.69
52W high
$6.84
52W low
$5.16
1W change
-3.00%
Beta
0.89
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering TF · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast TF stock price to rise 28.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$6.63
+28.1% Upside
Current Price
C$5.17
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TF's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
18.5%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
17.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$4.32
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$4.87 | C$4.57 – C$5.19 |
| 60 trading days | C$4.59 | C$4.19 – C$5.02 |
| 90 trading days | C$4.32 | C$3.87 – C$4.83 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Investor takeaway: Investors should keep an eye on recent performance trends and upcoming earnings announcements, as Timbercreek's fundamentals remain solid despite the stock's decline.
Timbercreek Financial Corp's stock is down 25.18% year-to-date.
Despite the stock's performance, Timbercreek maintains a profit margin of 58.1%, reflecting strong operational efficiency.
Bull case
Timbercreek's strong profit margins and a solid net mortgage portfolio suggest good operational health, which could support a recovery in the stock price.
Bear case
The ongoing decline in stock price and the market's reaction to financial results may negatively impact investor sentiment in the short term.
Recent Price Action
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Timbercreek Financial Corp's stock closed at C$5.35 today, down 1.71%. Over the past week, the stock has lost 3.00%, and it has seen a monthly decrease of 9.77%. Year-to-date, the stock is down 25.18%, reflecting a challenging environment for investors.
Company News and Developments
While there were no significant company-specific news releases this week, Timbercreek Financial has been active in the market. Recent announcements included declaring a dividend for June 2026 and plans for a normal course issuer bid. Additionally, the company is set to release its Q2 2026 results on July 29, 2026, with a conference call scheduled for July 30, 2026. These upcoming events may provide further insights into the company's performance and strategy.
Technical Picture
From a technical perspective, Timbercreek Financial's stock is currently trading below its 50-day moving average of C$5.88 and its 200-day moving average of C$6.55, indicating a bearish trend. The stock's 52-week range has been between C$5.16 and C$6.84, with the current price at approximately 11% of this range. The stock has a beta of 0.89, suggesting lower volatility compared to the broader market. Recent trading volume has been relatively strong, with the latest volume at 360,821 shares, slightly above the 20-day average volume of 245,172 shares.
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