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Why BlackBerry Ltd stock plummeted yesterday

By Wealth Awesome -

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Stocks & ETFs:BB.TO

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BlackBerry Ltd's stock took a significant hit, closing down 5.71% after a promising earnings report.

BlackBerry Ltd (BB.TO) saw its stock price drop sharply yesterday, closing at CA$11.57. This decline followed a strong earnings report that initially seemed to boost investor confidence. However, market reactions revealed concerns about the sustainability of its growth.

Investor takeaway: Investors should consider the implications of BlackBerry's recent performance and outlook, especially regarding its valuation metrics and market expectations.

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BlackBerry Ltd

BB.TO

Full stock page →

BB.TO

BlackBerry Ltd

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↑ $6.73 (139.05%)
120 day period
$4.84$11.38$17.91Apr 7Jul 2Sep 25

Market cap

$6.79B

P/E

82.6x

52W high

$18.45

52W low

$4.35

1W change

+3.67%

Beta

1.44

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering BB · as of Sep 28, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast BB stock price to rise 7.3% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$12.42

+7.3% Upside

Previously C$11.96 on Sep 25, 2026

Current Price

C$11.57

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on BB's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$4.90C$7.74C$10.58C$13.41C$16.25C$19.08TodayMay 20Jul 23Sep 25Nov 7Dec 21Feb 2

30-Day Vol

54.3%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

76.8%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$9.68

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$10.90C$9.04 – C$13.15
60 trading daysC$10.27C$7.88 – C$13.39
90 trading daysC$9.68C$6.99 – C$13.39

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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BlackBerry's stock fell 5.71% yesterday.

This decline comes after a year-to-date surge of over 135%, highlighting the volatility in investor sentiment.

Bull case

Despite the drop, some analysts think BlackBerry is undervalued. They see potential for growth, especially with its QNX software and new licensing deals.

Bear case

On the flip side, the stock's high P/E ratio of 82.64 raises concerns about overvaluation, particularly if growth projections don’t pan out as expected.

Earnings Report Overview

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BlackBerry reported a strong second-quarter fiscal 2027, with revenues up 26% year-over-year to CA$163.3 million and non-GAAP earnings of 7 cents per share. However, despite these positive figures, the market reacted negatively, likely due to worries about the sustainability of growth and the high valuation metrics.

Market Reaction and Valuation Concerns

The stock's drop of 5.71% reflects investor skepticism about BlackBerry's high P/E ratio and whether its recent growth can be maintained. Analysts are divided, with some suggesting that the stock may be overvalued given the current cash flow projections and market conditions.

Looking Ahead: What Investors Should Consider

As BlackBerry navigates its growth trajectory, investors should keep an eye on its upcoming earnings and market developments. The company's ability to convert its backlog into revenue and manage uncertainties around government contracts will be crucial in shaping future performance.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
🇨🇦 Canadian FocusLocal expertise
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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: September 28, 2026
Last Updated: September 28, 2026

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