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GFL Environmental Holdings Inc is experiencing a noticeable decline as market pressures impact its stock performance.
In the latest trading session, GFL Environmental Holdings Inc (GFL.TO) saw its stock price drop by 1.60%, closing at CA$49.76. This decline reflects broader concerns within the environmental services sector and specific challenges facing the company.
Investor takeaway: Investors should stay cautious as GFL's recent performance raises questions about its growth potential and market position amid changing industry dynamics.
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Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc
GFL.TO
GFL.TO
Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$21.31B
Div. yield
0.14%
Div. / share
$0.08
52W high
$66.24
52W low
$46.10
1W change
+1.41%
Beta
0.49
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering GFL · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast GFL stock price to rise 23.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$73.25
+23.1% Upside
Current Price
C$59.50
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on GFL's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
31.3%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
30.8%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+45.6%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$69.51
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$62.36 | C$55.97 – C$69.47 |
| 60 trading days | C$65.84 | C$56.51 – C$76.70 |
| 90 trading days | C$69.51 | C$57.66 – C$83.81 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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GFL Environmental's Market Cap Stands at CA$18.2 Billion
Despite the recent drop, GFL Environmental Holdings Inc maintains a significant market cap, showing its established presence in the industry. However, the high valuation metrics could signal potential risks for investors.
Bull case
GFL Environmental is a leader in the waste management sector, with ongoing projects like the RNG facilities in collaboration with Opal Fuels. These initiatives could boost its revenue streams over time.
Bear case
The recent downgrade in price targets by analysts, along with the company's high P/E ratio of 98.7, suggests that GFL may be overvalued. This raises concerns about its ability to meet growth expectations.
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Market Reaction and Analyst Downgrades
GFL's stock decline follows recent analyst downgrades, with CIBC lowering its price target from C$77 to C$75 and Scotiabank adjusting it from C$56 to C$52. These changes reflect growing skepticism about GFL's ability to maintain its valuation amid competitive pressures and operational challenges. Investors should keep an eye on these developments as they could influence GFL's market perception.
Future Prospects Amidst Challenges
Despite the current downturn, GFL Environmental is pushing forward with its strategic initiatives, including the development of new RNG facilities in partnership with Opal Fuels. These projects present a significant opportunity for revenue generation and could position GFL favorably in the evolving energy landscape. However, the company's high P/E ratio indicates that meeting these growth targets will be crucial for maintaining investor confidence.
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