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Will Air Canada (AC) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

By Wealth Awesome -

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Stocks & ETFs:AC.TO

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As Air Canada prepares to announce its latest earnings, investors are closely watching to see if the airline can keep its positive momentum amid changing market conditions.

Recent earnings trend

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Air Canada

AC.TO

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AC.TO

Air Canada

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
$6.05 (29.47%)
120 day period
$16.56$21.57$26.58Feb 17May 13Aug 7

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Market cap

$7.63B

P/E

11.0x

52W high

$26.77

52W low

$16.45

1W change

+4.77%

Beta

1.65

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering AC

📉

Wall Street analysts forecast AC stock price to fall 0.2% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Neutral

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$26.53

-0.2% Upside

Current Price

C$26.58

Last close

Compare analyst targets across the TSX & TSXV →

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on AC's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$17.32C$23.98C$30.64C$37.30C$43.96C$50.62TodayMar 31Jun 4Aug 7Sep 19Nov 2Dec 15

30-Day Vol

36.5%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

35.3%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$31.78

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$28.21C$24.87C$32.00
60 trading daysC$29.94C$25.06C$35.78
90 trading daysC$31.78C$25.55C$39.52

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 11 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-06-302026-08-110.1400
2026-03-312026-05-07-0.0500-0.4400+88.6%
2025-12-312026-02-120.65000.3000+116.7%
2025-09-302025-11-040.75000.7900-5.1%
2025-06-302025-07-280.60000.7000-14.3%
2025-03-312025-05-08-0.4500-0.5400+16.7%
-0.54001.01502.5700 24-0624-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-03 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Air Canada (AC.TO) will report its Q2 earnings on August 11, 2026, after the market closes. With the airline industry still recovering from the pandemic's impact, investors are eager to find out if Air Canada can deliver another positive earnings surprise. The consensus EPS estimate is $0.14, a significant drop from last year's $0.60. This preview will cover the timing of the earnings report, what investors should look for, and the broader context surrounding Air Canada.

Investor takeaway: Keep an eye on Air Canada's upcoming earnings report for insights into the airline's performance and future outlook, especially as it navigates a competitive landscape and works to recover from past losses.

Air Canada's EPS Estimate Sees Significant Decline

The current EPS consensus of $0.14 shows a staggering 70.8% decline year-over-year, highlighting the ongoing challenges in the airline sector.

Bull case

Air Canada has demonstrated resilience in previous quarters, beating expectations in 2 out of the last 4 quarters. If the airline can take advantage of increased travel demand and manage its costs effectively, it might surprise analysts with better-than-expected results.

Bear case

On the flip side, the consensus EPS estimate has been significantly revised down from $0.51 a month ago to $0.18, indicating a cautious outlook among analysts. If Air Canada fails to meet even this lowered expectation, it could raise concerns about its ongoing recovery.


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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 10, 2026
Last Updated: August 10, 2026

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