Atrium faces a modest EPS target in its next quarterly report, but it has come in just below estimates in each of the past four quarters.
Atrium Mortgage Investment Corp (TSX: AI) is set to report results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, after markets close on November 5. Three analysts expect EPS of C$0.25, with estimates ranging from C$0.24 to C$0.26. The consensus hasn’t changed in the past 30 days. Follow AI.TO on the Atrium stock page.
Recent earnings trend
Atrium Mortgage Investment Corp
AI.TO
AI.TO
Atrium Mortgage Investment Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$540.51M
P/E
11.3x
Div. yield
8.36%
Div. / share
$0.93
52W high
$11.86
52W low
$10.13
1W change
-0.62%
Beta
0.82
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering AI · as of Oct 30, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast AI stock price to rise 10.2% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$12.27
+10.2% Upside
Previously C$12.39 on Oct 27, 2026
Current Price
C$11.13
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on AI's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
13.4%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
14.3%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-19.1%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$10.44
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$10.93 | C$10.43 – C$11.45 |
| 60 trading days | C$10.68 | C$10.01 – C$11.41 |
| 90 trading days | C$10.44 | C$9.64 – C$11.32 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 3 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-05 | — | 0.2500 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 0.2400 | 0.2500 | -4.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-12 | 0.2500 | 0.2600 | -3.8% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-26 | 0.2500 | 0.2600 | -3.8% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-12 | 0.2500 | 0.2600 | -3.8% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 0.2700 | 0.2400 | +12.5% |
Investor takeaway: The report will show whether Atrium can meet the C$0.25 EPS consensus after four straight quarters just below estimates. The misses were small, but the pattern is worth watching. Revenue consensus is C$20.07 million, based on one analyst, so it offers a limited view of expectations. Atrium may also interest Canadian investors focused on income: its supplied dividend yield is 8.36%. A high yield alone, however, doesn’t show whether future distributions are sustainable.
C$0.25 EPS consensus
Three analysts expect Atrium to earn C$0.25 per share for the quarter ended September 30, the same as a year earlier. The estimate is unchanged from 30 days ago. In each of the past four comparable quarters, EPS came in about 3.85% to 4.00% below estimates.
Bull case
The EPS estimate hasn’t changed in the past month, and the consensus range is narrow, from C$0.24 to C$0.26. If Atrium reports C$0.25 or more, it will meet or beat expectations after posting C$0.24 in the June quarter. The company’s supplied figures include an 80.67% profit margin and a P/E ratio of about 11.2. The average analyst price target of C$12.27 is also above the latest close of C$11.13. These figures offer context, but they don’t guarantee earnings or share-price gains.
Bear case
Atrium has missed EPS estimates in each of its past four reported quarters: C$0.24 versus C$0.25 in June, followed by C$0.25 versus C$0.26 in each of the three earlier quarters. The upcoming estimate matches year-ago EPS of C$0.25, so analysts expect no year-over-year growth. The share price is also below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. And revenue expectations rely on just one analyst, which limits the value of that benchmark.
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