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Will Gibson Energy Inc. (GEI) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

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Gibson Energy is set to report after the market closes on November 2. Analysts expect earnings of C$0.35 per share. Last quarter, the company beat estimates by 23.3%.

Gibson Energy Inc. (TSX: GEI) will report results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, after the market closes on November 2. Analysts expect earnings of C$0.35 per share, up from C$0.28 a year earlier. The estimate has risen slightly over the past month, from C$0.34 to C$0.35. Over the past four quarters, Gibson beat estimates twice, met them once and missed once. For Canadian investors, the report will offer a new look at earnings momentum. The available calendar data does not include a revenue estimate.

Recent earnings trend

Gibson Energy Inc.

GEI.TO

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GEI.TO

Gibson Energy Inc.

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↑ $6.66 (24.47%)
120 day period
$27.23$30.56$33.89May 8Aug 5Oct 29

Market cap

$5.85B

P/E

34.2x

Div. yield

5.24%

Div. / share

$1.76

52W high

$34.15

52W low

$20.77

1W change

+2.67%

Beta

0.61

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering GEI · as of Oct 26, 2026

📉

Wall Street analysts forecast GEI stock price to fall 1.4% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Neutral

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$33.43

-1.4% Upside

Previously C$33.14 on Oct 19, 2026

Current Price

C$33.89

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on GEI's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$27.39C$31.94C$36.49C$41.04C$45.60C$50.15TodayJun 22Aug 26Oct 29Dec 11Jan 24Mar 8

30-Day Vol

19.0%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

22.4%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+37.8%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$38.79

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$35.45C$33.20 – C$37.85
60 trading daysC$37.08C$33.80 – C$40.69
90 trading daysC$38.79C$34.62 – C$43.46

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 4 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-11-02—0.3400—
2026-06-302026-07-260.37000.3000+23.3%
2026-03-312026-05-040.31000.2800+10.7%
2025-12-312026-02-170.30000.3000+0.0%
2025-09-302025-11-030.28000.2900-3.4%
2025-06-302025-07-280.37000.2700+37.0%
-0.02370.17310.3700 24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: The outlook is cautiously positive, but a beat is far from certain. Gibson beat estimates in its two most recent quarters, and the current EPS estimate points to 24.2% year-over-year growth. Still, analyst revisions are mixed: the consensus rose over the past 30 days, even as four analysts lowered their estimates and none raised theirs. Visit the GEI stock page for more coverage. Consider the results alongside your views on valuation, risk and income needs.

C$0.35 per share

Four analysts expect Gibson to earn C$0.35 per share for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. That’s up from C$0.28 a year earlier, or an estimated 24.2% increase. The consensus rose from C$0.34 over the past month. But the revision tally—four cuts and no increases—shows that individual analyst estimates have not moved in the same direction.

Bull case

Gibson reported EPS of C$0.31 against an estimate of C$0.28 for the March quarter, then C$0.37 against C$0.30 for the June quarter. The next-quarter estimate of C$0.35 is above the year-ago result of C$0.28, and the consensus has risen by a cent over the past month. Meeting or beating the estimate would extend Gibson’s recent run of positive surprises and support the view that earnings are improving. The supplied company-news item also says estimates for fiscal 2026 have risen over the past three months. That refers to a separate annual estimate, not the quarterly consensus.

Bear case

Gibson’s recent record is mixed, not a steady run of beats. The company missed its September 2025 estimate and met its December estimate before beating expectations in its two latest quarters. The current revision tally is another caution: four analysts lowered their estimates and none raised theirs over the past 30 days, even though the consensus rose from C$0.34 to C$0.35. Valuation and expectations matter too. The supplied snapshot lists a P/E of 34.2, and the average analyst price target of C$33.43 is 1.4% below the last close of C$33.89. The reported profit margin is 1.32%. Investors should consider the company’s broader business risks rather than rely on its dividend yield or a single EPS result.

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
🇨🇦 Canadian FocusLocal expertise
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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: November 2, 2026
Last Updated: November 2, 2026

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