As Mountain Province Diamonds prepares to report its next earnings on August 14, the focus is on its ability to maintain a streak of impressive earnings surprises.
Mountain Province Diamonds Inc (MPVD.TO) has built a reputation for exceeding earnings expectations, achieving four consecutive beats. As investors look ahead to the upcoming earnings report scheduled for August 14, 2026, after market close, the anticipation is high. With a consensus EPS estimate of $0.10, a 25% increase from the year-ago EPS of $0.08, the question remains: can the company keep this trend going?
Recent earnings trend
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Mountain Province Diamonds Inc
MPVD.TO
MPVD.TO
Mountain Province Diamonds Inc
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Market cap
$3.19M
52W high
$0.13
52W low
$0.01
1W change
+0.00%
Beta
1.37
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering MPVD
Wall Street analysts forecast MPVD stock price to rise 6400.0% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$1.30
+6400.0% Upside
Current Price
C$0.02
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on MPVD's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
274.8%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
214.1%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$0.02
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1ฯ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$0.02 | C$0.01 โ C$0.05 |
| 60 trading days | C$0.02 | C$0.00 โ C$0.07 |
| 90 trading days | C$0.02 | C$0.00 โ C$0.09 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ยฑ1ฯ, 95% band = ยฑ2ฯ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-15 | -0.7128 | โ | โ |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-11 | -0.2631 | โ | โ |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-12 | -0.1777 | โ | โ |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-06 | -0.1619 | โ | โ |
| 2024-12-31 | 2025-03-26 | -0.2928 | โ | โ |
| 2024-09-30 | 2024-11-06 | -0.0895 | โ | โ |
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Investor takeaway: With a solid history of beating earnings estimates, Mountain Province Diamonds offers an interesting opportunity for investors, especially given its recent production gains and potential for revenue growth despite the ups and downs of the diamond market.
Bull case
Mountain Province Diamonds has consistently outperformed expectations, achieving four consecutive earnings beats over the last four comparable quarters, which bodes well for its upcoming report.
The company recently reported a remarkable 163% increase in carats recovered and a 222% rise in average grade. If these trends continue, Mountain Province Diamonds could see its stock price reach analyst targets well above its current levels.
Bear case
Despite its past successes, the company faces challenges such as declining adjusted EBITDA and a recent leadership change with the resignation of its CEO. These factors could create uncertainty around future performance and investor sentiment.
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