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Will Mountain Province Diamonds Inc (MPVD) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

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Stocks & ETFs:MPVD.TO

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As Mountain Province Diamonds prepares to report its next earnings on August 14, the focus is on its ability to maintain a streak of impressive earnings surprises.

Mountain Province Diamonds Inc (MPVD.TO) has built a reputation for exceeding earnings expectations, achieving four consecutive beats. As investors look ahead to the upcoming earnings report scheduled for August 14, 2026, after market close, the anticipation is high. With a consensus EPS estimate of $0.10, a 25% increase from the year-ago EPS of $0.08, the question remains: can the company keep this trend going?

Recent earnings trend

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Mountain Province Diamonds Inc

MPVD.TO

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MPVD.TO

Mountain Province Diamonds Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
$0.04 (-69.23%)
120 day period
$0.01$0.05$0.09Jan 27Apr 24Jul 20

Market cap

$3.19M

52W high

$0.13

52W low

$0.01

1W change

+0.00%

Beta

1.37

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering MPVD · as of Sep 17, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast MPVD stock price to rise 6400.0% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$1.30

+6400.0% Upside

Current Price

C$0.02

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on MPVD's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$0.00C$0.09C$0.18C$0.28C$0.37C$0.46TodayMar 11May 15Jul 20Sep 1Oct 15Nov 27

30-Day Vol

274.8%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

214.1%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$0.02

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$0.02C$0.01C$0.05
60 trading daysC$0.02C$0.00C$0.07
90 trading daysC$0.02C$0.00C$0.09

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-03-312026-05-15-0.7128
2025-09-302025-11-11-0.2631
2025-06-302025-08-12-0.1777
2025-03-312025-05-06-0.1619
2024-12-312025-03-26-0.2928
2024-09-302024-11-06-0.0895

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-0.7128-0.18140.3500 24-0324-0624-0924-1225-0325-0625-0926-03 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: With a solid history of beating earnings estimates, Mountain Province Diamonds offers an interesting opportunity for investors, especially given its recent production gains and potential for revenue growth despite the ups and downs of the diamond market.

Bull case

Mountain Province Diamonds has consistently outperformed expectations, achieving four consecutive earnings beats over the last four comparable quarters, which bodes well for its upcoming report.

The company recently reported a remarkable 163% increase in carats recovered and a 222% rise in average grade. If these trends continue, Mountain Province Diamonds could see its stock price reach analyst targets well above its current levels.

Bear case

Despite its past successes, the company faces challenges such as declining adjusted EBITDA and a recent leadership change with the resignation of its CEO. These factors could create uncertainty around future performance and investor sentiment.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 13, 2026
Last Updated: August 13, 2026

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