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Will Orla Mining Ltd (OLA) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

By Wealth Awesome -

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As Orla Mining Ltd prepares to announce its upcoming earnings, investors are keenly watching for signs of growth amidst recent market fluctuations.

Orla Mining Ltd (OLA.TO) will release its earnings report on August 4, 2026, after the market closes. The company is in the spotlight due to its significant merger with Equinox Gold Corp, positioning it as a key player in North America's gold production. Investors are eager to see if Orla can meet or exceed the EPS estimate of $0.35, especially considering its past earnings performance.

Recent earnings trend

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Orla Mining Ltd

OLA.TO

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OLA.TO

Orla Mining Ltd

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
$11.13 (-47.02%)
120 day period
$12.09$20.88$29.67Feb 10May 7Jul 31

Market cap

$4.71B

P/E

12.3x

Div. yield

0.11%

Div. / share

$0.01

52W high

$29.95

52W low

$11.80

1W change

-4.06%

Beta

1.17

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering OLA

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast OLA stock price to rise 102.9% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$25.45

+102.9% Upside

Current Price

C$12.54

Last close

Compare analyst targets across the TSX & TSXV →

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on OLA's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$5.60C$9.63C$13.66C$17.69C$21.72C$25.75TodayMar 25May 29Jul 31Sep 12Oct 26Dec 8

30-Day Vol

49.9%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

65.8%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$10.49

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$11.82C$9.95C$14.03
60 trading daysC$11.13C$8.73C$14.20
90 trading daysC$10.49C$7.78C$14.13

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 4 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 2 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-06-302026-08-040.3500
2026-03-312026-05-070.25890.3717-30.3%
2025-12-312026-03-190.42000.3300+27.3%
2025-09-302025-11-110.22000.2400-8.3%
2025-06-302025-08-110.20000.1900+5.3%
2025-03-312025-05-120.12000.1002+19.8%
0.00000.21000.4200 24-0624-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-03 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: With a consensus EPS estimate of $0.35 and a recent history of mixed earnings surprises, investors should brace for a potentially volatile reaction to the upcoming earnings release. The company’s recent strategic decisions and current market conditions will be crucial in shaping investor sentiment.

EPS Estimate: $0.35

This is a notable increase from last year's EPS of $0.20, reflecting strong growth expectations in a fluctuating gold market.

Bull case

Orla's recent merger with Equinox Gold is expected to significantly boost production capabilities. Investors might feel optimistic about the anticipated revenue growth and improved operational efficiencies that could result from this combination. Analysts have set a bullish price target of C$25.45, suggesting substantial upside potential from its current trading level.

Bear case

On the flip side, the company’s recent earnings history shows mixed results, with only two beats out of the last four quarters. If Orla fails to meet the EPS estimate, especially after a strong year-over-year growth projection of 107.3%, it could face negative investor sentiment and a further drop in share price.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 3, 2026
Last Updated: August 3, 2026

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