PetroTal is set to report its September-quarter results before markets open on November 9. Analysts expect lower EPS and revenue than a year ago.
PetroTal Corp. (TSX: TAL) will report results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. Three analysts forecast EPS of C$0.03 and revenue of US$264.36 million. That would be a 69.1% drop in EPS and a 37.5% decline in revenue from the same quarter last year. Investors will be looking at whether the results and operating updates support those expectations. See the TAL stock page for company and share information.
Recent earnings trend
PetroTal Corp.
TAL.TO
TAL.TO
PetroTal Corp.
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$460.16M
P/E
50.0x
52W high
$0.69
52W low
$0.33
1W change
-8.93%
Beta
0.25
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering TAL · as of Sep 17, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast TAL stock price to rise 250.0% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$1.75
+250.0% Upside
Current Price
C$0.50
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TAL's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
39.2%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
46.8%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+8.5%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$0.52
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$0.51 | C$0.44 – C$0.58 |
| 60 trading days | C$0.51 | C$0.42 – C$0.62 |
| 90 trading days | C$0.52 | C$0.41 – C$0.65 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 3 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 0.0070 | — | — |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | 0.0226 | — | — |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-26 | -0.0119 | — | — |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-13 | 0.0053 | — | — |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-07 | 0.0259 | — | — |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-12 | 0.0474 | — | — |
Investor takeaway: There is enough consensus and historical data to make this a useful earnings preview. PetroTal beat estimates in one of its last four comparable quarters, and the current EPS estimate has not changed in 30 days. Still, the forecast points to a sharp year-over-year decline, and one recent beat does not establish a trend. Investors may also want to consider operating updates released for the quarter, including production and drilling progress. TAL.TO closed at C$0.50, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. That provides market context, but it does not tell us what the earnings report will show.
C$0.03 EPS consensus for the September quarter
Three analysts expect EPS of C$0.03, with estimates ranging from C$0.00 to C$0.05. The consensus is unchanged from 30 days ago, compared with EPS of C$0.10 a year earlier. Revenue is forecast at US$264.36 million, also based on three analysts. These are estimates, not reported results. The earnings calendar listing does not include EPS headline fields.
Bull case
The C$0.03 EPS forecast is modest and has held steady over the past month. PetroTal’s October 14 operations update, as described in the supplied headlines, reported average third-quarter production of 11,797 barrels per day. Year-to-date output was 3% above budget. The update also cited US$115.6 million in unrestricted cash and progress on Bretana well 25H.
If the financial results show resilient operations and cash generation, investors may find reasons for optimism beyond the year-over-year declines. But the available information does not show that these operating results will lead to an EPS beat.
Bear case
The consensus points to a weaker quarter than a year ago. Analysts expect EPS of C$0.03, down from C$0.10, and revenue to fall 37.5%. PetroTal’s recent record against estimates is mixed: it beat once in its last four reported quarters, and the historical examples include both positive and substantial negative surprises. The current forecast also comes from just three analysts.
Oil prices, realized sales, costs and other factors could affect the results. The available information does not include forecasts for those items.
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