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Will Vista Gold Corporation (VGZ) Beat Earnings Estimates in Its Next Report?

By Wealth Awesome -

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Stocks & ETFs:VGZ.TO

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Vista Gold is scheduled to report its September-quarter results after the market closes on October 29. The available consensus expects a loss of C$0.05 per share. For a development-stage miner, though, updates on the project may matter more to investors than a small difference in quarterly EPS.

Vista Gold Corporation (TSX: VGZ) is expected to report results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. One analyst estimates a loss of C$0.05 per share, unchanged over the past 30 days. The revenue estimate is zero. The earnings calendar has no EPS headline fields, so these figures are a limited benchmark, not a complete preview.

Recent earnings trend

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Vista Gold Corporation

VGZ.TO

Full stock page →

VGZ.TO

Vista Gold Corporation

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↑ $0.74 (25.69%)
120 day period
$2.17$3.06$3.96May 5Jul 30Oct 26

Market cap

$528.42M

52W high

$4.25

52W low

$2.10

1W change

-5.97%

Beta

1.30

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering VGZ · as of Sep 17, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast VGZ stock price to rise 37.0% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$4.96

+37.0% Upside

Current Price

C$3.62

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on VGZ's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$1.91C$3.49C$5.07C$6.65C$8.23C$9.81TodayJun 17Aug 21Oct 26Dec 8Jan 21Mar 5

30-Day Vol

66.0%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

70.2%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$4.33

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$3.84C$3.06 – C$4.82
60 trading daysC$4.08C$2.95 – C$5.63
90 trading daysC$4.33C$2.92 – C$6.42

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-06-302026-08-12-0.0280——
2026-03-312026-04-30-0.0328——
2025-12-312026-03-10-0.0188——
2025-09-302025-11-11-0.0079——
2025-06-302025-08-13-0.0261——
2025-03-312025-04-30-0.0314——
-0.0328-0.01640.0000 24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Reported EPS (≥0) Reported EPS (<0) Wealth Awesome

Vista has reported EPS estimates and actuals for 23 comparable quarters, but beat estimates in only one of its last four. Its latest trailing-twelve-month EPS is -C$0.08. For Canadian investors, the main question is whether the release offers useful detail on the company’s development plans and Mt Todd project—not whether a small loss is a few cents above or below consensus.

Investor takeaway: The consensus points to another loss, while the zero revenue estimate reflects limited expectations for operating revenue in this calendar snapshot. Vista’s share price closed at C$3.62, above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages but below its 52-week high of C$4.25. The company’s September 21 announcement that Artemis Gold had agreed to acquire Vista is also important context. But the supplied earnings data don’t show how the proposed transaction will affect this quarter’s results. Investors should separate reported earnings from deal and project updates, and review the company’s filings for transaction terms and material developments.

C$0.05 loss per share

One analyst estimates a loss of C$0.05 per share for the quarter ended September 30. That estimate is unchanged from 30 days ago and compares with a loss of C$0.06 per share a year earlier. The revenue consensus is zero, so conventional operating metrics may offer little insight into the quarter.

Bull case

The EPS estimate of -C$0.05 compares with -C$0.06 a year earlier, implying estimated year-over-year improvement of 16.7%. The estimate hasn’t changed over the past month. If Vista reports concrete progress on Mt Todd permitting, technical work or development planning, those details may give investors more to consider than the small expected loss. The supplied analyst data show an average target of C$4.96, 37% above the last close of C$3.62. That’s an implied comparison, not a guarantee or a formal rating for the Canadian listing.

Bear case

Vista remains loss-making on a trailing-twelve-month basis, and the revenue estimate is zero. The EPS forecast comes from one analyst, so it’s a narrow reference point rather than a broad market view. Vista beat estimates in only one of its last four reported quarters, so investors shouldn’t assume it will beat again. Development and permitting timelines can change, and the proposed acquisition brings additional uncertainty that the EPS estimate can’t resolve.

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Analysis

Vista is scheduled to report after the market closes on October 29 for the fiscal quarter ended September 30. One analyst expects a loss of C$0.05 per share and zero revenue. The EPS estimate is unchanged from 30 days ago. Compared with EPS of -C$0.06 a year earlier, the forecast implies estimated growth of 16.7%, though Vista is still expected to report a loss.

The earnings calendar entry is sparse and has no EPS headline fields, so there’s no calendar result to compare with estimates before the release. Investors can follow the company’s VGZ stock page for earnings and market information.

Analysis

One analyst’s estimate is a limited reference point, not a broad consensus. Vista has 23 comparable quarters with reported EPS estimates and actuals in the supplied history, but beat estimates in only one of its last four reported quarters. That doesn’t predict the next result, but it’s a reason not to treat a beat as the default expectation.

Vista’s trailing-twelve-month EPS is -C$0.08, and its reported profit margin is 0.00%. With a revenue estimate of zero, the release may be more useful for confirming costs and the loss per share than for assessing sales growth. The automatically inserted earnings trend table and chart show the historical figures, so they aren’t repeated here.

Analysis

Recent company updates have focused on Mt Todd, Vista’s development project in Australia. In July, the company said permitting, technical work and team-building were progressing, with detailed engineering and design targeted for 2027.

A September 21 headline says Artemis Gold agreed to acquire Vista. Vista shareholders are set to receive 0.0966 Artemis shares for each Vista share. These headlines don’t replace the company’s official filings, and the supplied earnings data don’t show how the proposed transaction will be reflected in the quarter. Investors may want to check the release for material project, permitting or transaction updates alongside the EPS result.

The supplied analyst data list an average target of C$4.96, 37.0% above the last close of C$3.62. See the analyst targets section for context, not as a forecast. Wealth Awesome’s 90-day price forecast is a statistical model, not financial advice. Its mean is C$4.33, with a 68% range of C$2.92 to C$6.42 and a 95% range of C$1.97 to C$9.53. Those wide ranges reflect the uncertainty around a small-cap mining stock.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: October 28, 2026
Last Updated: October 28, 2026

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