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Will Xanadu Quantum Technologies Limited (XNDU) Beat Earnings Estimates in Its Next Report?

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Xanadu reports after the market closes on October 29. The one-analyst EPS consensus points to a larger quarterly loss than the company reported last quarter.

Xanadu Quantum Technologies Limited (TSX: XNDU) is set to report results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. The available consensus estimates EPS of -C$0.43 and revenue of C$1.95 million. Only one analyst contributed to the EPS estimate, so it’s a limited reference point, not a broad measure of expectations. Xanadu develops photonic quantum computers and related software. Its trailing-twelve-month EPS is -C$0.63. Follow the company on the XNDU stock page.

Recent earnings trend

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Xanadu Quantum Technologies Limited

XNDU.TO

Full stock page →

XNDU.TO

Xanadu Quantum Technologies Limited

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $14.85 (-80.58%)
120 day period
$3.58$14.18$24.78May 5Jul 30Oct 26

Market cap

$1.12B

52W high

$57.00

52W low

$3.51

1W change

-9.37%

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering XNDU · as of Oct 26, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast XNDU stock price to rise 46.7% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$5.25

+46.7% Upside

Previously C$5.26 on Oct 23, 2026

Current Price

C$3.58

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on XNDU's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$0.88C$4.66C$8.44C$12.22C$16.00C$19.78TodayJun 17Aug 21Oct 26Dec 8Jan 21Mar 5

30-Day Vol

100.3%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

84.5%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$2.99

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$3.37C$2.39 – C$4.77
60 trading daysC$3.18C$1.95 – C$5.19
90 trading daysC$2.99C$1.64 – C$5.45

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 1 of the last 2 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-10-29—-0.1000—
2026-06-302026-08-05-0.1300-0.2300+43.5%
2026-03-312026-05-14-0.2100-0.0800-162.5%
-0.2300-0.11500.0000 26-0326-06 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: Investors will compare Xanadu’s quarterly revenue with the C$1.95 million consensus and its loss with the -C$0.43 EPS estimate. The recent record offers little guidance: Xanadu beat EPS estimates in one of the two quarters with comparable data. For the quarter ended June 30, it reported -C$0.13 versus -C$0.23 expected. For the March quarter, it reported -C$0.21 versus -C$0.08 expected. Two quarters aren’t enough to establish a reliable pattern.

C$0.43 loss per share expected

The one-analyst consensus for the September quarter is -C$0.43 EPS, with revenue of C$1.95 million. Xanadu beat its EPS estimate in one of the two recent comparable quarters and missed in the other. With so little analyst coverage, treat the consensus as a limited benchmark.

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Bull case

Xanadu’s latest reported quarter came in ahead of its EPS estimate: -C$0.13 versus -C$0.23. The company is also working to expand its production capacity. Company coverage has cited a planned advanced photonics manufacturing facility, backed by a C$195 million federal commitment within a C$893 million project, as well as more wafer tape-out capacity at foundry partners. The upcoming results will offer another look at revenue and losses as Xanadu works toward that longer-term expansion.

Bear case

Analysts still expect a loss. The EPS estimate has fallen from 0.00 30 days ago to -C$0.43, based on one analyst’s forecast. Revenue consensus is C$1.95 million, but no growth estimate is available in the supplied data. Xanadu’s trailing EPS is -C$0.63. Its share price has fallen 49.29% over the past month to C$3.58, according to the supplied market data, and is below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. These figures show the gap between the company’s long-term quantum-computing plans and its current earnings. They don’t predict what the report will show.

Analysis

The main benchmarks are EPS of -C$0.43 and revenue of C$1.95 million. One analyst contributed to the EPS estimate, while three contributed to the revenue consensus. The supplied data includes no revenue-growth estimate. Investors will be watching the results and company commentary for clues about commercial activity and spending. Xanadu is due to report after the market closes on October 29, outside regular trading hours.

Analysis

The supplied history includes just two recent quarters with both actual and estimated EPS. For the quarter ended June 30, Xanadu reported -C$0.13 against an estimate of -C$0.23, a positive surprise of 43.48%. For the quarter ended March 31, it reported -C$0.21 against -C$0.08, a miss of 162.50% based on the supplied surprise measure. That’s one beat in two quarters—not enough to establish a reliable trend. The automatically inserted recent-earnings table and chart show the quarter-by-quarter details.

Analysis

Xanadu develops photonic quantum computers and software for developers, including PennyLane. Company coverage has highlighted the planned Inception advanced photonics manufacturing facility, which has a C$195 million federal commitment within a C$893 million project, and expanded wafer tape-out capacity at foundry partners. These plans relate to longer-term capacity. They don’t replace evidence of near-term revenue or profitability in the upcoming report.

The supplied market data puts XNDU at C$3.58, down 49.29% over the past month and below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Analyst targets and the Wealth Awesome statistical price forecast offer different reference points. The average analyst target is C$5.25, while the model’s 90-day mean is C$2.99, with a wide 95% range of C$0.90 to C$9.94. The model is uncertain and isn’t investment advice. See the analyst targets section and XNDU company page for more context.

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Wealth Awesome
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This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: October 28, 2026
Last Updated: October 28, 2026

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