Calfrac Well Services Ltd. has posted a strong earnings performance, surpassing estimates and reinforcing its position in the energy sector.
Calfrac Well Services Ltd. (TSX: CFW) reported its second quarter 2026 results on August 6, 2026, revealing an earnings surprise that exceeded analyst expectations. The company’s earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.31, beating the consensus estimate of $0.27 by 14.81%. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter of earnings beats for Calfrac, highlighting its operational strength and effective cost management.
Recent earnings trend
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Calfrac Well Services Ltd.
CFW.TO
CFW.TO
Calfrac Well Services Ltd.
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$685.40M
P/E
9.7x
52W high
$7.35
52W low
$3.02
1W change
+0.44%
Beta
0.59
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CFW · as of Sep 24, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast CFW stock price to rise 38.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$9.38
+38.1% Upside
Previously C$18.34 on Sep 23, 2026
Current Price
C$6.79
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CFW's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
22.7%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
42.1%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$8.12
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$7.21 | C$6.66 – C$7.79 |
| 60 trading days | C$7.65 | C$6.85 – C$8.54 |
| 90 trading days | C$8.12 | C$7.09 – C$9.30 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-13 | — | 0.3200 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-06 | 0.3100 | 0.2700 | +14.8% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-03-31 | — | -0.0400 | — |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-19 | 0.1500 | -0.0600 | +350.0% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-14 | 0.0700 | -0.0100 | +800.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-08 | 0.2700 | 0.1400 | +92.9% |
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Investor takeaway: With a solid earnings report and a commitment to disciplined capital allocation, Calfrac Well Services Ltd. is positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in the energy sector, particularly in North America and Argentina. Investors should consider the company's improving financial metrics and robust free cash flow as positive indicators for future performance.
Calfrac Reports $426.7 Million in Revenue and $31.8 Million in Net Income
The company achieved a net income of $31.8 million, reflecting an impressive 108% increase from the previous year, alongside a robust revenue figure of $426.7 million, driven by improved utilization in North America.
Bull case
Calfrac's strong operational performance, shown by a 6% year-over-year revenue increase, puts it in a good position for continued growth. The company's focus on smart capital allocation and reducing debt gives it more financial flexibility, making it an attractive option for investors in the energy services sector.
Bear case
Despite the positive earnings beat, Calfrac faces challenges like the normalization of pricing in Argentina and a projected decline in year-over-year EPS growth. Investors should stay cautious about potential volatility in energy prices and geopolitical risks that could impact operations in international markets.
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