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Canadian Tire Corporation Limited (CTC) Earnings Preview — What to Watch Before the Report

By Wealth Awesome -

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As Canadian Tire gears up for its upcoming earnings report, here’s what investors should keep an eye on.

Canadian Tire Corporation Limited (CTC.TO) is set to announce its earnings on August 13, 2026, before the market opens. With a diverse retail portfolio and a history of navigating economic fluctuations, this earnings report will be crucial for investors looking to gauge the company's performance in the current economic climate.

Recent earnings trend

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Canadian Tire Corporation Limited

CTC.TO

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CTC.TO

Canadian Tire Corporation Limited

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
$8.35 (4.01%)
120 day period
$204.32$222.15$239.98Feb 12May 13Aug 11

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Market cap

$11.38B

P/E

17.9x

Div. yield

3.24%

Div. / share

$7.15

52W high

$259.42

52W low

$198.41

1W change

-4.27%

Beta

0.97

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering CTC

📉

Wall Street analysts forecast CTC stock price to fall 98.2% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bearish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$4.00

-98.2% Upside

Current Price

C$216.35

Last close

Compare analyst targets across the TSX & TSXV →

Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.

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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on CTC's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$161.47C$182.77C$204.07C$225.36C$246.66C$267.95TodayMar 30Jun 4Aug 11Sep 23Nov 6Dec 19

30-Day Vol

18.7%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

26.9%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-10.9%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$208.10

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$213.56C$200.24C$227.78
60 trading daysC$210.82C$192.45C$230.93
90 trading daysC$208.10C$186.12C$232.67

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: Limited — historical beat/miss data exists for 100 quarter(s), but no upcoming consensus.

Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-03-312026-05-142.0205
2025-12-312026-02-193.8986
2025-09-302025-11-063.1329
2025-06-302025-08-072.0431
2025-03-312025-05-080.6674
2024-12-312025-02-137.3709
0.00003.68547.3709 24-0624-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-03 Reported EPS (≥0) Reported EPS (<0) Wealth Awesome

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Investor takeaway: Investors should focus on the trends in Canadian Tire’s sales and profitability, especially considering its recent strategic initiatives and community support efforts. Understanding these dynamics will provide insights into the company's resilience and growth potential.

Market Cap: C$11.38 billion

With a P/E ratio of 17.88 and a profit margin of 3.63%, Canadian Tire's valuation reflects a balance between growth expectations and current profitability.

Bull case

Canadian Tire has a strong retail presence and is actively investing in its store network, which could boost sales growth. Its commitment to community support, highlighted by recent donations to wildfire relief efforts, may also strengthen brand loyalty and customer engagement.

Bear case

Economic pressures, such as inflation and shifting consumer spending habits, could hurt Canadian Tire’s margins and overall performance. Additionally, the company’s historical earnings trends show volatility, which could pose risks for investors.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

Timely coverage of Canadian stocks, earnings, dividends, and market movers for DIY investors. Stories are checked against exchange data and public filings.

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

📊 Data AccuracyVerified sources
🇨🇦 Canadian FocusLocal expertise
🔍 Fact-CheckedEditorial review

⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: August 12, 2026
Last Updated: August 12, 2026

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