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Hammond Power Solutions Inc HPS-A Earnings Beat Estimates by 7.9%

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Hammond Power Solutions reported record third-quarter sales and adjusted EPS that beat estimates by 7.9%. Its acquisition of AEG and rising data-centre demand both shaped the results.

Hammond Power Solutions Inc. (TSX: HPS.A; HPS-A.TO) reported its third-quarter 2026 results after markets closed on October 29. Adjusted earnings per share came in at C$3.13, above the C$2.90 estimate. Sales reached a record C$446.3 million, up 104.4% from a year earlier. Gross margin rose to 34.4% from about 30.1%.

Recent earnings trend

Hammond Power Solutions Inc

HPS-A.TO

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HPS-A.TO

Hammond Power Solutions Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $65.43 (-21.08%)
120 day period
$217.17$288.29$359.40May 8Aug 5Oct 29

Market cap

$3.00B

P/E

48.7x

Div. yield

0.46%

Div. / share

$1.10

52W high

$364.67

52W low

$150.01

1W change

+11.31%

Beta

0.98

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering HPS-A · as of Oct 15, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast HPS-A stock price to rise 56.5% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$383.50

+56.5% Upside

Previously C$384.13 on Oct 12, 2026

Current Price

C$245.02

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on HPS-A's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$92.71C$172.34C$251.96C$331.59C$411.22C$490.84TodayJun 22Aug 26Oct 29Dec 11Jan 24Mar 8

30-Day Vol

67.2%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

66.7%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-38.7%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$213.42

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$234.00C$185.57 – C$295.07
60 trading daysC$223.47C$160.99 – C$310.21
90 trading daysC$213.42C$142.82 – C$318.91

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 5 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-10-293.13002.9000+7.9%
2026-06-302026-07-302.76002.1000+31.4%
2026-03-312026-05-052.08001.7800+16.9%
2025-12-312026-03-191.98001.7100+15.8%
2025-09-302025-10-231.46001.5800-7.6%
2025-06-302025-07-241.12001.8500-39.5%
0.00001.56503.1300 24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0626-09 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

This was the first full quarter to include AEG Power Solutions, which HPS acquired on June 29. As a result, the sharp increase in sales reflects both business performance and the larger company.

Investor takeaway: HPS delivered strong reported growth, higher margins and solid cash generation. But investors should separate organic growth from the impact of AEG. The company said data-centre shipments drove significant growth in the U.S. Its Power Magnetics backlog was 61.1% higher than a year earlier, though it fell 3.8% from the previous quarter.

Reported EPS was C$2.33, below adjusted EPS of C$3.13. HPS cited one-time AEG acquisition costs, foreign-exchange losses on acquisition hedges and higher interest among the factors weighing on reported results. The next test is whether HPS can integrate AEG and turn demand and backlog into lasting, profitable growth.

C$446.3 million

HPS’s third-quarter sales hit a record, rising 104.4% year over year. That comparison includes AEG’s first full quarter in HPS’s results, so it doesn’t represent organic growth alone. Gross margin increased to 34.4% from about 30.1%, and adjusted EPS of C$3.13 topped the C$2.90 estimate. The recent-earnings trend table shows the quarter-by-quarter comparison.

Bull case

Record sales, higher gross margins and strong adjusted EBITDA growth point to solid operating momentum. Adjusted EBITDA reached C$84 million, or 18.8% of sales, up 177.5% from a year earlier.

Power Magnetics backlog was much higher year over year, mainly because of large data-centre project orders, according to HPS. The company also generated C$76 million in cash from operations during the quarter.

Bear case

The year-over-year growth rate doesn’t show underlying growth clearly because this was the first full quarter with AEG included. Backlog also fell from the second quarter. Despite higher sales, net earnings for the first nine months were C$56.7 million, compared with C$57.0 million a year earlier.

HPS still has work to do integrating AEG and must manage rising input costs. Management said pricing, output, product mix and efficiency helped offset tariffs and higher copper and aluminum costs. The share valuation and uncertainty around future results add to the risks.

Wealth Awesome
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Published: October 30, 2026
Last Updated: October 30, 2026

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