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Ivanhoe Energy Inc IE Earnings Beat Estimates by 437.5%

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Ivanhoe Electric reported quarterly EPS of C$0.27, well above the C$0.08 loss analysts expected. That’s a change from the losses it reported in each of the previous three quarters.

Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (TSX: IE; IE.TO) reported results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, before markets opened on November 5. Calendar data shows EPS of C$0.27 against an estimate of -C$0.08, a reported surprise of 437.5%.

Recent earnings trend

Ivanhoe Energy Inc

IE.TO

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IE.TO

Ivanhoe Energy Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $4.86 (-29.47%)
120 day period
$9.97$14.86$19.74May 20Aug 14Nov 9

Market cap

$1.72B

52W high

$28.81

52W low

$9.43

1W change

+9.00%

Beta

1.34

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering IE · as of Oct 9, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast IE stock price to rise 150.8% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$29.17

+150.8% Upside

Previously C$31.50 on Sep 17, 2026

Current Price

C$11.63

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on IE's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$3.08C$8.60C$14.11C$19.63C$25.14C$30.65TodayJul 2Sep 4Nov 9Dec 22Feb 4Mar 19

30-Day Vol

93.6%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

87.8%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$9.73

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$10.96C$7.93 – C$15.13
60 trading daysC$10.32C$6.54 – C$16.30
90 trading daysC$9.73C$5.56 – C$17.02

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Analyst coverage: 1 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 1 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-12-312027-02-23—-0.0800—
2026-09-302026-11-050.2700-0.0800+437.5%
2026-06-302026-08-07-0.2900-0.2100-38.1%
2026-03-312026-05-07-0.6400-0.3200-100.0%
2025-12-312026-02-26-0.2269-0.2200-3.1%
2025-09-302025-11-05-0.1800-0.2900+37.9%
-0.6400-0.18500.2700 24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0626-09 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

The U.S.-based company explores and develops copper and other critical metals. Its projects include the advanced-stage Santa Cruz Copper Project in Arizona and exploration partnerships in Saudi Arabia, Chile and the United States. For Canadian investors, the EPS result stands out, but the recent record is mixed: IE beat estimates in just one of its last four comparable quarters.

Investor takeaway: The quarter came in well above expectations, but one positive EPS result doesn’t establish a lasting earnings trend. IE reported losses in the three previous quarters, and its trailing 12-month EPS remains -C$0.42. The average analyst target is well above the latest close, while Wealth Awesome’s statistical 90-day model points lower and has a wide forecast range. These conflicting signals reflect the uncertainty around a minerals exploration and development company. Neither an analyst target nor a model forecast guarantees future performance.

C$0.27 EPS versus -C$0.08 expected

The reported 437.5% surprise compares actual EPS with a negative estimate. It doesn’t measure year-over-year earnings growth. EPS was -C$0.29 in the previous quarter and was also negative in the two quarters before that.

Bull case

EPS of C$0.27 was much better than the -C$0.08 estimate. IE’s projects and exploration partnerships also give investors exposure to copper and other critical metals. The average analyst target of C$29.17 is well above the latest close of C$11.63, though investors should consider how many analysts cover the stock and what assumptions underpin their targets.

Bear case

IE’s latest result follows three consecutive quarters in which actual EPS fell short of estimates, and trailing EPS remains negative. The share price is below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The statistical 90-day forecast also shows a negative annualized drift and exceptionally high volatility. Exploration and development results are uncertain, and the available information doesn’t show that this quarter marks a lasting improvement in profitability.

Wealth Awesome
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This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: November 10, 2026
Last Updated: November 10, 2026

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