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Kinross Gold Corp K Earnings Beat Estimates by 11.1%

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Stocks & ETFs:K.TO

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Kinross Gold reported adjusted third-quarter earnings of US$0.50 per share, above the supplied estimate of US$0.45. Revenue was US$1.77 billion.

Kinross Gold Corp. (TSX: K) reported results after the market closed on October 28, 2026. For the quarter ended September 30, adjusted earnings beat the calendar estimate by 11.1%. Kinross has beaten estimates in three of its last four reported quarters, with one miss in March.

Recent earnings trend

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Kinross Gold Corp

K.TO

Full stock page →

K.TO

Kinross Gold Corp

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $9.33 (-22.47%)
120 day period
$31.27$38.73$46.18May 7Aug 4Oct 28

Market cap

$38.33B

P/E

9.2x

Div. yield

0.49%

Div. / share

$0.15

52W high

$53.36

52W low

$30.53

1W change

-3.71%

Beta

1.52

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering K · as of Oct 29, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast K stock price to rise 59.4% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$51.29

+59.4% Upside

Previously C$50.64 on Oct 28, 2026

Current Price

C$32.18

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on K's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$16.52C$25.63C$34.74C$43.85C$52.96C$62.07TodayJun 19Aug 25Oct 28Dec 10Jan 23Mar 7

30-Day Vol

52.9%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

51.0%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-1.3%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$32.04

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$32.13C$26.77 – C$38.56
60 trading daysC$32.08C$24.79 – C$41.53
90 trading daysC$32.04C$23.36 – C$43.94

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 9 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-10-280.50000.4500+11.1%
2026-06-302026-07-280.71000.6600+7.6%
2026-03-312026-04-290.71000.7400-4.1%
2025-12-312026-02-180.67000.5500+21.8%
2025-09-302025-11-040.44000.3900+12.8%
2025-06-302025-07-300.44000.3400+29.4%
0.00000.37000.7400 24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0626-09 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

Investor takeaway: The earnings beat is encouraging, but one quarter doesn’t settle the case for a gold producer. Earnings can shift with gold prices, mine operations, and project execution. Kinross declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.04 per share, payable December 3 to shareholders of record on November 19. For Canadian investors, the dividend is eligible for Canadian income tax purposes.

K.TO closed at C$32.18, below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The price was also closer to its 52-week low of C$30.53 than its high of C$53.36. Consider the results alongside Kinross’s operating outlook and the risks of mining, rather than treating one quarter’s beat as a forecast.

US$0.50 adjusted EPS, versus US$0.45 estimated

Kinross’s adjusted third-quarter EPS beat the supplied estimate by 11.1%. Revenue was US$1.77 billion, but no revenue estimate was supplied, so it’s not possible to say whether revenue beat expectations.

Bull case

Kinross has beaten EPS estimates in three of its last four reported quarters. The supplied fundamentals show a 37.52% profit margin and a trailing P/E of about 9.2. Analysts’ average target of C$51.29 is well above the C$32.18 closing price, though targets are estimates, not promises. The declared dividend also provides a modest cash return to shareholders.

Bear case

The latest revenue and adjusted EPS figures don’t remove Kinross’s exposure to gold-price swings, mine operating risks, or the cost and execution demands of growth projects. The share price is below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Meanwhile, next-quarter EPS consensus has fallen from US$0.84 to US$0.73, with three downward revisions and one upward revision in the past 30 days. Analyst targets and statistical forecasts can differ significantly from actual results.

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Analysis

Kinross reported adjusted earnings of US$0.50 per share for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, against the supplied calendar estimate of US$0.45. That’s a positive surprise of 11.1%. The earnings snapshot also showed net income of US$583.2 million, or US$0.49 per share before adjustments for non-recurring costs. Revenue was US$1.77 billion. Since no revenue estimate was supplied, the figure can’t be classified as a beat or miss.

The quarter followed EPS beats in December 2025 and June 2026, with a miss in March 2026. The recent-earnings table and chart show the quarter-by-quarter results. For more company information, visit the Kinross Gold stock page.

Analysis

Kinross declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.04 per common share, payable December 3, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on November 19. The company says the dividend qualifies as an eligible dividend for Canadian income tax purposes. The supplied trailing dividend yield is 0.49%. Yield changes with the share price and isn’t guaranteed.

The supplied consensus for next quarter is US$0.73 EPS, based on nine analysts, with estimates ranging from US$0.48 to US$1.16. That’s down from US$0.84 30 days ago. Over that period, analysts made one upward revision and three downward revisions. Revenue consensus is US$2.27 billion, based on three analysts. These are forecasts, not reported results. Investors can review analyst ratings and targets and weigh them against the operating and commodity-price risks of a global gold miner.

Analysis

The supplied analyst data puts Kinross’s average target at C$51.29, compared with the October 28 closing price of C$32.18—a difference of 59.4%. The consensus is labelled bullish because the average target is above the last close. A formal rating isn’t available for Canadian listings. Targets are estimates and can change.

Wealth Awesome’s statistical 90-day price model, which isn’t financial advice, gives a mean forecast of C$32.04. Its 68% range is C$23.36 to C$43.94, and its 95% range is C$17.03 to C$60.26. The model shows annualized drift of -1.3% and 30-day volatility of 52.9%. These ranges show uncertainty; they don’t guarantee a future price. See the Wealth Awesome price forecast for details.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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✅ Reviewed by Certified Financial Professionals

This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

Why these credentials matter: CFA® charterholders complete 900+ hours of rigorous study in investment analysis and ethics. CFP® professionals are held to the highest standards of financial planning competency and fiduciary duty in Canada.

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⚠️ Professional Disclaimer

This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: October 29, 2026
Last Updated: October 29, 2026

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