Tilray Inc. experienced a notable decline in its stock price this week, reflecting broader challenges in the cannabis sector.
Tilray Inc. (TLRY.TO) closed at C$5.60 on Thursday, down 2.00% for the day and 4.23% over the week. Despite recent announcements of record revenue and upcoming financial results, investor sentiment appears cautious amid ongoing structural challenges in the cannabis market.
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Tilray Inc
TLRY.TO
TLRY.TO
Tilray Inc
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Market cap
$890.77M
52W high
$32.30
52W low
$5.19
1W change
+5.48%
Beta
1.92
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering TLRY
Wall Street analysts forecast TLRY stock price to rise 16.2% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$7.60
+16.2% Upside
Current Price
C$6.54
Last close
Analyst ratings and price targets are updated periodically. Not financial advice.
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Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TLRY's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
51.5%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
53.3%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-45.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$5.57
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$6.20 | C$5.19 – C$7.40 |
| 60 trading days | C$5.88 | C$4.57 – C$7.55 |
| 90 trading days | C$5.57 | C$4.09 – C$7.57 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Investor takeaway: Investors should remain aware of Tilray's recent financial performance and strategic initiatives, while also considering the broader market dynamics affecting the cannabis sector.
C$5.60
Tilray's stock has seen a significant decline, with a year-to-date drop of 55.96%, highlighting ongoing volatility in the cannabis sector.
Bull case
The company recently announced a record Q2 net revenue of $218 million and maintains a strong cash position. This suggests that Tilray is operationally strong and has potential for future growth.
Bear case
However, the stock's significant year-to-date drop of 55.96% and a negative profit margin of 156.7% raise concerns about its long-term sustainability and profitability.
Price Action Overview
Tilray Inc. closed at C$5.60 on Thursday, reflecting a 2.00% decrease for the day and a 4.23% decline over the week. The stock has struggled significantly this year, down 55.96% year-to-date, indicating a challenging market environment for cannabis stocks.
Recent Company Developments
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Tilray recently reported a record Q2 net revenue of $218 million, indicating strong operational performance. The company also reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance, which could signal potential profitability improvements. Additionally, Tilray announced a one-for-ten reverse stock split, effective December 1, 2025, aimed at improving its stock price and market perception.
Technical Picture
Currently, Tilray's stock is trading below both its 50-day moving average (C$6.85) and its 200-day moving average (C$7.97), indicating bearish momentum. The stock's 52-week range is between C$5.87 and C$32.30, with the current price sitting near the lower end of this range. The beta of 1.90 suggests that the stock is more volatile than the market, which may contribute to investor caution. Furthermore, trading volume has been lower than the 20-day average, with the latest volume at 314,033 shares compared to the average of 416,858 shares.
Insider Activity
No recent insider activity has been reported for Tilray Inc., which may indicate a stable outlook from management regarding the company's future performance.
Final Price Action
Tilray Inc. closed at C$5.60, down 2.00% for the day, reflecting ongoing challenges in the cannabis sector and investor sentiment.
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