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Why ON Semiconductor stock is rising today

By Wealth Awesome -

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ON Semiconductor Corporation's stock is gaining momentum amid positive market sentiment and strong earnings expectations.

ON Semiconductor Corporation (NASDAQ:ON) is rising today, closing at $78.53, marking a 2.16% increase from the previous day's close. This uptick comes despite broader market challenges, showcasing the company's resilience and strong positioning in the semiconductor sector.

Investor takeaway: Investors are optimistic about ON Semiconductor's upcoming earnings report, which is expected to show significant growth in both earnings and revenue, reflecting the company's solid fundamentals.

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ON Semiconductor Corporation

ON.US

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ON.US

ON Semiconductor Corporation

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↓ $36.05 (-31.93%)
73 day period
$66.60$99.08$131.55Jun 17Aug 10Sep 30

Market cap

$29.57B

P/E

50.3x

52W high

$134.92

52W low

$44.56

1W change

+3.74%

Beta

2.00

Analyst Price Targets

Based on 31 analysts covering ON · as of Sep 25, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast ON stock price to rise 34.9% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Buy

3.97 / 5.00

Avg. Target

C$103.69

+34.9% Upside

Previously C$103.84 on Sep 21, 2026

Current Price

C$76.87

Last close

Analyst Breakdown (31 analysts)

Strong Buy 14
Buy 3
Hold 13
Sell 1
Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on ON's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$32.64C$53.21C$73.78C$94.35C$114.93C$135.50TodayJun 17Aug 10Sep 30Nov 12Dec 26Feb 7

30-Day Vol

54.2%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

79.0%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

-50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$64.30

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$72.43C$60.08 – C$87.31
60 trading daysC$68.24C$52.39 – C$88.89
90 trading daysC$64.30C$46.52 – C$88.88

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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2.16% Increase in Stock Price

ON Semiconductor's stock has shown a notable increase of 4.54% over the past month, outperforming the broader Computer and Technology sector.

Bull case

Analysts expect ON Semiconductor to report earnings per share (EPS) of $0.87, a 38.1% increase year-over-year, along with projected revenue of $1.7 billion. This positions ON Semiconductor favorably in the market. The company's strong performance in the semiconductor industry, especially in AI and electric vehicles, adds to its growth potential.

Bear case

Despite the positive outlook, there are concerns about rising competition and potential overcapacity in the semiconductor market, which could impact ON Semiconductor's profitability. Additionally, any adverse shifts in market conditions or regulatory changes could affect future growth.

Strong Earnings Expectations

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Investors are eagerly awaiting ON Semiconductor's upcoming earnings report, projected to show an EPS of $0.87, reflecting a 38.1% increase compared to the same quarter last year. The expected revenue of $1.7 billion represents a 9.66% rise from the previous year, indicating robust demand for the company's semiconductor products.

Market Position and Growth

ON Semiconductor has carved out a significant niche in the semiconductor market, particularly in sectors like AI and electric vehicles. The company's recent performance, including a 4.54% increase over the past month, highlights its competitive edge and the positive investor sentiment surrounding its growth trajectory.

Risks and Considerations

While the outlook for ON Semiconductor appears positive, investors should remain cautious of potential risks such as increased competition and market volatility. Analysts are closely monitoring any shifts in the semiconductor landscape that could impact the company's profitability and growth prospects.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized financial advice. While our team brings professional expertise, individual circumstances vary. For personalized guidance, consult with a qualified financial advisor, tax professional, or mortgage specialist.

Published: October 1, 2026
Last Updated: October 1, 2026

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