
Cenovus beat EPS estimates in three of its last four reported quarters, but its latest result fell just short. Its next report will show whether earnings growth is picking up again.
Cenovus Energy Inc. (TSX: CVE) is scheduled to report before markets open on October 29, 2026. The report covers the quarter ended September 30. The earnings calendar lists EPS of C$1.08, while earnings-trends data puts consensus at C$1.12. That estimate is based on three analysts and ranges from C$0.86 to C$1.48. Since the figures differ by source, check which consensus you’re using to assess the result.
Recent earnings trend
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Cenovus Energy Inc
CVE.TO
CVE.TO
Cenovus Energy Inc
Market cap
$85.83B
P/E
13.0x
Div. yield
1.78%
Div. / share
$0.82
52W high
$47.46
52W low
$21.26
1W change
-1.48%
Beta
0.60
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering CVE · as of Oct 26, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast CVE stock price to rise 14.4% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
Moderately BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$52.60
+14.4% Upside
Previously C$52.73 on Oct 22, 2026
Current Price
C$45.98
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on CVE's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
31.7%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
34.5%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
+50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$55.64
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$49.39 | C$44.27 – C$55.11 |
| 60 trading days | C$52.42 | C$44.90 – C$61.20 |
| 90 trading days | C$55.64 | C$46.03 – C$67.26 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 3 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-10-29 | — | 1.0800 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-29 | 1.6100 | 1.6400 | -1.8% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-06 | 0.8900 | 0.7600 | +17.1% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-19 | 0.4900 | 0.3700 | +32.4% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-31 | 0.7700 | 0.4800 | +60.4% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-07-31 | 0.3400 | 0.1100 | +209.1% |
The trends data also forecasts revenue of C$14.47 billion, up 3.0% from a year earlier, and EPS growth of 44.9%. Cenovus operates across oil sands, conventional and offshore production, refining and upgrading. This mix provides exposure to different parts of the energy business, but results still depend on commodity prices, operating costs and refining conditions. For more company details, visit the Cenovus stock page.
Investor takeaway: The outlook is encouraging, but there’s no guarantee of a beat. EPS consensus has risen over the past month, and Cenovus beat estimates in three of its last four comparable quarters. But its most recent result missed by 1.83%, and the consensus figures vary by source. Production, costs and refining conditions in management’s commentary will matter as much as the earnings result.
C$1.12
That’s the September-quarter EPS consensus in the earnings-trends data, up from C$0.92 30 days ago. The earnings calendar lists C$1.08, so the source matters when you compare the result with expectations.
Bull case
The earnings-trends EPS consensus rose from C$0.92 to C$1.12 over the past 30 days. Analysts made one upward revision and no downward revisions. They expect EPS to grow 44.9% year over year. Cenovus’s production and refining operations span several parts of the energy business, and the company has beaten estimates in three of its last four reported quarters.
Bear case
The higher estimate sets a tougher bar, and past results don’t guarantee another beat. Cenovus reported June-quarter EPS of C$1.61, below the C$1.64 estimate. The September-quarter revenue forecast is up just 3.0% from a year earlier, and the EPS estimate range from three analysts is wide. Changes in commodity prices, higher costs or weaker refining conditions could also weigh on results.
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Analysis
Cenovus is scheduled to report before markets open on October 29, for the quarter ended September 30. The earnings calendar lists EPS of C$1.08. Earnings-trends data shows consensus of C$1.12, based on three analysts, with a range of C$0.86 to C$1.48. That data also puts revenue consensus at C$14.47 billion, based on two analysts, up 3.0% year over year.
The EPS estimate rose from C$0.92 to C$1.12 over the past month. When results come out, compare them with the consensus source you follow. Then look beyond headline EPS to management’s comments on production, operating costs and refining conditions.
Analysis
Cenovus combines oil sands, conventional and offshore production with refining and upgrading. Its integrated operations cover several parts of the energy business, but they don’t shield the company from commodity-price changes or operating challenges.
Cenovus beat EPS estimates in three of its last four reported quarters. It beat estimates in March 2026 and in both reported quarters in 2025. In June 2026, however, EPS of C$1.61 came in 1.83% below the C$1.64 estimate. That record makes another beat worth watching, but it doesn’t make one certain. For more details, visit the CVE stock page.
Analysis
CVE’s last closing price was C$45.98, above its 50-day moving average of C$45.06 and its 200-day average of C$37.54. It was below the 52-week high of C$47.46. These figures describe recent market performance; they don’t predict how the shares will move after earnings.
The supplied analyst data gives an average price target of C$52.60, 14.4% above the last close. See the analyst ratings section. Wealth Awesome’s statistical 90-day price model gives a mean forecast of C$55.64. Its 68% range is C$46.03 to C$67.26, and its 95% range is C$38.08 to C$81.30. This is a statistical model, not financial advice. See the price prediction section.
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