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Will Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

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Cenovus beat EPS estimates in three of its last four reported quarters, but its latest result fell just short. Its next report will show whether earnings growth is picking up again.

Cenovus Energy Inc. (TSX: CVE) is scheduled to report before markets open on October 29, 2026. The report covers the quarter ended September 30. The earnings calendar lists EPS of C$1.08, while earnings-trends data puts consensus at C$1.12. That estimate is based on three analysts and ranges from C$0.86 to C$1.48. Since the figures differ by source, check which consensus you’re using to assess the result.

Recent earnings trend

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Cenovus Energy Inc

CVE.TO

Full stock page →

CVE.TO

Cenovus Energy Inc

Source:WealthAwesomeWealthAwesome
↑ $5.46 (13.28%)
120 day period
$34.42$40.82$47.23May 5Jul 30Oct 26

Market cap

$85.83B

P/E

13.0x

Div. yield

1.78%

Div. / share

$0.82

52W high

$47.46

52W low

$21.26

1W change

-1.48%

Beta

0.60

Analyst Price Targets

Based on analyst covering CVE · as of Oct 26, 2026

📈

Wall Street analysts forecast CVE stock price to rise 14.4% over the next 12 months.

Consensus

Moderately Bullish

Based on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)

Avg. Target

C$52.60

+14.4% Upside

Previously C$52.73 on Oct 22, 2026

Current Price

C$45.98

Last close

Compare analyst targets →

Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.

Wealth Awesome Price Forecast

WA Model

Statistical 90-day price range based on CVE's historical volatility

HistoricalForecast68%95%
C$33.38C$43.45C$53.53C$63.60C$73.67C$83.74TodayJun 17Aug 21Oct 26Dec 8Jan 21Mar 5

30-Day Vol

31.7%

Annualized

90-Day Vol

34.5%

Annualized

Trend (90d)

+50.0%

Annualized drift

90d Mean

C$55.64

Expected price

HorizonExpected68% Range (1σ)
30 trading daysC$49.39C$44.27 – C$55.11
60 trading daysC$52.42C$44.90 – C$61.20
90 trading daysC$55.64C$46.03 – C$67.26

Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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Analyst coverage: 3 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.

Beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).

Fiscal periodReport dateActual EPSEstimateSurprise
2026-09-302026-10-29—1.0800—
2026-06-302026-07-291.61001.6400-1.8%
2026-03-312026-05-060.89000.7600+17.1%
2025-12-312026-02-190.49000.3700+32.4%
2025-09-302025-10-310.77000.4800+60.4%
2025-06-302025-07-310.34000.1100+209.1%
0.00000.82001.6400 24-0924-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-06 Estimate Actual (≥0) Actual (<0) Wealth Awesome

The trends data also forecasts revenue of C$14.47 billion, up 3.0% from a year earlier, and EPS growth of 44.9%. Cenovus operates across oil sands, conventional and offshore production, refining and upgrading. This mix provides exposure to different parts of the energy business, but results still depend on commodity prices, operating costs and refining conditions. For more company details, visit the Cenovus stock page.

Investor takeaway: The outlook is encouraging, but there’s no guarantee of a beat. EPS consensus has risen over the past month, and Cenovus beat estimates in three of its last four comparable quarters. But its most recent result missed by 1.83%, and the consensus figures vary by source. Production, costs and refining conditions in management’s commentary will matter as much as the earnings result.

C$1.12

That’s the September-quarter EPS consensus in the earnings-trends data, up from C$0.92 30 days ago. The earnings calendar lists C$1.08, so the source matters when you compare the result with expectations.

Bull case

The earnings-trends EPS consensus rose from C$0.92 to C$1.12 over the past 30 days. Analysts made one upward revision and no downward revisions. They expect EPS to grow 44.9% year over year. Cenovus’s production and refining operations span several parts of the energy business, and the company has beaten estimates in three of its last four reported quarters.

Bear case

The higher estimate sets a tougher bar, and past results don’t guarantee another beat. Cenovus reported June-quarter EPS of C$1.61, below the C$1.64 estimate. The September-quarter revenue forecast is up just 3.0% from a year earlier, and the EPS estimate range from three analysts is wide. Changes in commodity prices, higher costs or weaker refining conditions could also weigh on results.

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Analysis

Cenovus is scheduled to report before markets open on October 29, for the quarter ended September 30. The earnings calendar lists EPS of C$1.08. Earnings-trends data shows consensus of C$1.12, based on three analysts, with a range of C$0.86 to C$1.48. That data also puts revenue consensus at C$14.47 billion, based on two analysts, up 3.0% year over year.

The EPS estimate rose from C$0.92 to C$1.12 over the past month. When results come out, compare them with the consensus source you follow. Then look beyond headline EPS to management’s comments on production, operating costs and refining conditions.

Analysis

Cenovus combines oil sands, conventional and offshore production with refining and upgrading. Its integrated operations cover several parts of the energy business, but they don’t shield the company from commodity-price changes or operating challenges.

Cenovus beat EPS estimates in three of its last four reported quarters. It beat estimates in March 2026 and in both reported quarters in 2025. In June 2026, however, EPS of C$1.61 came in 1.83% below the C$1.64 estimate. That record makes another beat worth watching, but it doesn’t make one certain. For more details, visit the CVE stock page.

Analysis

CVE’s last closing price was C$45.98, above its 50-day moving average of C$45.06 and its 200-day average of C$37.54. It was below the 52-week high of C$47.46. These figures describe recent market performance; they don’t predict how the shares will move after earnings.

The supplied analyst data gives an average price target of C$52.60, 14.4% above the last close. See the analyst ratings section. Wealth Awesome’s statistical 90-day price model gives a mean forecast of C$55.64. Its 68% range is C$46.03 to C$67.26, and its 95% range is C$38.08 to C$81.30. This is a statistical model, not financial advice. See the price prediction section.

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Wealth Awesome
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Wealth Awesome

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This content has been reviewed by CFA® charterholders and Certified Financial Planners (CFP®) with over a decade of experience in Canadian financial markets. All information is fact-checked against official Canadian sources and regulations.

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Published: October 27, 2026
Last Updated: October 27, 2026

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