As Aritzia prepares for its next earnings report, investors are eager to see if the company can keep up its trend of exceeding expectations.
Aritzia Inc (TSX: ATZ) will announce its earnings on October 8, 2026, after the market closes. The excitement around this report is high, especially considering the company’s strong history of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters. With an expected EPS of CA$1.04 and a revenue consensus of CA$1.04 billion, all eyes are on this Canadian retailer known for its women’s apparel.
Recent earnings trend
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Aritzia Inc
ATZ.TO
ATZ.TO
Aritzia Inc
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$14.05B
P/E
32.0x
52W high
$174.52
52W low
$79.40
1W change
+2.31%
Beta
1.70
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering ATZ · as of Oct 5, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast ATZ stock price to rise 51.0% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$185.21
+51.0% Upside
Previously C$185.50 on Sep 30, 2026
Current Price
C$122.66
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on ATZ's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
36.0%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
39.0%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$102.60
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$115.57 | C$102.06 – C$130.87 |
| 60 trading days | C$108.89 | C$91.34 – C$129.82 |
| 90 trading days | C$102.60 | C$82.73 – C$127.25 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
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Analyst coverage: 13 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 2026-10-08 | — | 1.0400 | — |
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-07-09 | 0.9600 | 0.8800 | +9.1% |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-05-07 | 1.1500 | 1.0300 | +11.7% |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026-01-08 | 1.1000 | 0.8900 | +23.6% |
| 2025-08-31 | 2025-10-09 | 0.5900 | 0.3900 | +51.3% |
| 2025-05-31 | 2025-07-10 | 0.4200 | 0.3900 | +7.7% |
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Investor takeaway: Aritzia’s consistent ability to surpass earnings estimates, along with its solid growth trajectory, makes it an attractive investment. However, investors should stay alert to potential risks related to its expansion strategy and market conditions.
47.2% Expected EPS Growth Year-Over-Year
Aritzia's EPS is projected to rise from CA$0.59 in the same quarter last year to CA$1.04, highlighting the company’s strong growth momentum in a competitive retail environment.
Bull case
Aritzia's aggressive expansion strategy, especially in the U.S. market, and its well-managed brand model have driven impressive revenue growth. Analysts are optimistic, with a consensus target price of CA$185.21, indicating significant potential upside from its current trading levels.
Bear case
Despite its achievements, Aritzia faces challenges such as potential margin pressures from rising costs and the risk of missteps in its expansion plans. Changes in consumer spending or economic conditions could also affect its performance.
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