Triple Flag has beaten EPS estimates in each of its last four comparable quarters. Its next earnings report, due after the market closes on November 3, will show whether that streak continues. Analysts have recently lowered their estimates.
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TSX: TFPM) is scheduled to report results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, after the market closes on November 3. Six analysts expect calendar EPS of C$0.31, with estimates ranging from C$0.20 to C$0.43. The consensus was C$0.34 a month ago. Since then, one analyst has raised their estimate and five have lowered theirs.
Recent earnings trend
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp
TFPM.TO
TFPM.TO
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$8.08B
P/E
13.7x
Div. yield
0.56%
Div. / share
$0.23
52W high
$57.06
52W low
$37.21
1W change
-2.78%
Beta
0.31
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering TFPM · as of Nov 2, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast TFPM stock price to rise 48.1% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$58.11
+48.1% Upside
Previously C$58.19 on Oct 30, 2026
Current Price
C$39.23
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on TFPM's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
32.8%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
38.7%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-46.4%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$33.24
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$37.12 | C$33.15 – C$41.57 |
| 60 trading days | C$35.13 | C$29.93 – C$41.22 |
| 90 trading days | C$33.24 | C$27.32 – C$40.43 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 6 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-03 | — | 0.2300 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-05 | 0.3900 | 0.3300 | +18.2% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-05 | 0.4500 | 0.4200 | +7.1% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-02-18 | 0.3300 | 0.3200 | +3.1% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-04 | 0.2400 | 0.2200 | +9.1% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-06 | 0.2400 | 0.2200 | +9.1% |
The company beat estimates in all four of its last comparable quarters. For Canadian investors, this report will also bring attention to revenue expectations and the contribution from the recently completed Ravenswood gold stream.
Investor takeaway: Analysts expect EPS to rise 29.8% from C$0.24 a year earlier. Revenue is forecast at US$100.61 million, up 7.6% year over year. The four-quarter beat streak offers useful context, but it doesn’t guarantee another beat. EPS revisions have turned negative, and just one analyst contributed to the revenue consensus. The reported results and management’s comments will matter more than a headline beat alone.
C$0.31 EPS consensus
Six analysts expect EPS of C$0.31 for the quarter ended September 30, compared with C$0.24 a year earlier. Estimates range from C$0.20 to C$0.43, and the consensus has fallen over the past month. Triple Flag beat estimates in each of its last four comparable quarters, but recent downward revisions make the November 3 report a test of that trend.
Bull case
Triple Flag has beaten EPS estimates in each of its last four reported quarters, including the June quarter, when it reported C$0.39 against an estimate of C$0.33. In an October 7 update, the company reported preliminary third-quarter revenue of US$106.7 million, according to the supplied headline. That’s above the US$100.61 million consensus, but the figure is preliminary, not final reported revenue. First deliveries from the Ravenswood gold stream could give investors an early sense of the acquisition’s contribution.
Bear case
The consensus EPS estimate has dropped from C$0.34 to C$0.31 over the past 30 days. Five analysts lowered their estimates, while one raised theirs. Revenue expectations come from just one analyst, so they offer a limited benchmark.
TFPM.TO shares closed at C$39.23, below both their 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The price was also closer to the 52-week low of C$37.21 than the high of C$57.06. These figures don’t determine the earnings results, but they help explain why investors may pay close attention to the report and outlook.
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