Doman Building Materials Group reported third-quarter EPS of C$0.23, 27.8% above the C$0.18 estimate. But lower adjusted EBITDA and pressure from lumber prices and freight costs make for a mixed quarter.
Doman Building Materials Group Ltd. (TSX: DBM) released results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, after markets closed on November 6. Revenue rose from a year earlier, while adjusted EBITDA fell. See DBM’s stock page for more company information.
Recent earnings trend
Doman Building Materials Group Ltd
DBM.TO
DBM.TO
Doman Building Materials Group Ltd
WealthAwesomeMarket cap
$887.73M
P/E
10.4x
Div. yield
5.53%
Div. / share
$0.56
52W high
$11.84
52W low
$8.20
1W change
+3.06%
Beta
1.37
Analyst Price Targets
Based on analyst covering DBM · as of Oct 29, 2026
Wall Street analysts forecast DBM stock price to rise 25.9% over the next 12 months.
Consensus
BullishBased on avg. target vs last close (formal rating unavailable for Canadian listings)
Avg. Target
C$12.71
+25.9% Upside
Previously C$12.79 on Oct 19, 2026
Current Price
C$10.10
Last close
Targets are snapshotted when they change. Unchanged figures keep their original date. Not financial advice.
Wealth Awesome Price Forecast
WA ModelStatistical 90-day price range based on DBM's historical volatility
30-Day Vol
17.0%
Annualized
90-Day Vol
22.2%
Annualized
Trend (90d)
-50.0%
Annualized drift
90d Mean
C$8.45
Expected price
| Horizon | Expected | 68% Range (1σ) |
|---|---|---|
| 30 trading days | C$9.52 | C$8.97 – C$10.09 |
| 60 trading days | C$8.97 | C$8.25 – C$9.74 |
| 90 trading days | C$8.45 | C$7.63 – C$9.35 |
Methodology: Range is calculated using 30-day realized volatility via geometric Brownian motion (log-normal model). 68% band = ±1σ, 95% band = ±2σ. This is a statistical model, not a prediction. Past volatility does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.
Analyst coverage: 4 analyst(s) cover this name; upcoming EPS consensus is available.
Beat estimates in 4 of the last 4 comparable quarter(s).
| Fiscal period | Report date | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 2026-11-06 | 0.2300 | 0.1800 | +27.8% |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-08-05 | 0.3600 | 0.3000 | +20.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-08 | 0.2700 | 0.1400 | +92.9% |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-03-05 | 0.1300 | 0.0700 | +85.7% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-11-06 | 0.2100 | 0.1400 | +50.0% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-06 | 0.3200 | 0.2100 | +52.4% |
Investor takeaway: Doman beat EPS estimates for the fourth quarter in a row, but the results also show ongoing operating pressure. Revenue increased to C$841.7 million from C$795.1 million a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA declined to C$60.1 million from C$62.0 million. The company cited lower Southern Yellow Pine prices and higher freight and fuel costs as pressures on margins. Doman also declared a quarterly dividend of C$0.14 per share, though the figures available here don’t show whether that payout is sustainable.
C$0.23 EPS, 27.8% above estimate
Doman reported EPS of C$0.23, compared with the C$0.18 estimate. It has now beaten estimates in four consecutive reported quarters. Adjusted EBITDA, however, fell to C$60.1 million from C$62.0 million a year earlier.
Bull case
Doman has beaten EPS estimates in each of its last four reported quarters, including this quarter’s 27.8% surprise. Revenue grew year over year, and the company declared a quarterly dividend of C$0.14 per share. The average analyst target is C$12.71, compared with the last close of C$10.10, implying 25.9% upside. Analyst targets aren’t guarantees of future performance. See analyst targets and ratings for available coverage.
Bear case
The EPS beat came as adjusted EBITDA declined. Doman cited lower Southern Yellow Pine prices and higher freight and fuel costs as pressures on margins. Its reported profit margin is 2.71%, and the last close of C$10.10 was below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Wealth Awesome’s statistical 90-day model puts the mean at C$8.45, with a 68% range of C$7.63 to C$9.35. This is a model output, not financial advice. See the statistical price forecast for more context.
Earnings results
For the quarter ended September 30, Doman reported EPS of C$0.23, compared with the C$0.18 estimate, a 27.8% positive surprise. The company has beaten estimates in each of its last four reported quarters: EPS was C$0.36 versus C$0.30 in Q2, C$0.27 versus C$0.14 in Q1, and C$0.13 versus C$0.07 in Q4 2025. The recent earnings trend table and chart show the quarter-by-quarter results.
Revenue rose to C$841.7 million from C$795.1 million a year earlier, while adjusted EBITDA fell to C$60.1 million from C$62.0 million. Doman pointed to lower Southern Yellow Pine prices and higher freight and fuel costs as pressures on margins. The EPS beat is worth noting, but the decline in adjusted EBITDA shows why it helps to look beyond the headline number.
Dividend and share price
Doman declared a quarterly dividend of C$0.14 per share. The supplied fundamentals show a 5.53% dividend yield, a trailing P/E of about 10.4, and TTM EPS of C$0.97. These figures provide context, but they don’t settle whether the shares are fairly valued or the dividend can continue.
The stock’s last close was C$10.10, below its 50-day moving average of C$10.60 and its 200-day average of C$10.54. The average analyst target is C$12.71, or 25.9% above the last close. That comparison isn’t a forecast or a promise. See DBM’s stock page for more information.
Analyst targets and statistical forecast
The average analyst target of C$12.71 is above the last close, but a formal rating isn’t available for this Canadian listing. Separately, Wealth Awesome’s statistical 90-day model gives a mean forecast of C$8.45, with a 68% range of C$7.63 to C$9.35 and a 95% range of C$6.90 to C$10.35. The model’s annualized drift is -50.0%, based on the supplied inputs.
The statistical model and analyst targets use different methods and serve different purposes. The model isn’t financial advice. See the analyst section and price forecast section for details.
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